La Liga · resolved market
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b29d847cccf97c3562295c9c7630c6eb1f269072ca104150da55f76d4a75067
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 52c | 3,120$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.48 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 41c | 2,989$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.46 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 1,164$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.46 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 55c | 1,146$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.58 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 519.13$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.84 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 50c | 291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 58c | 252.1$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.22 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 58c | 245.65$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 58c | 222.03$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 178.21$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Over | 57c | 136.73$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…743dbacked Over | 56c | 104.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 40c | 96.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 47c | 86.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 53c | 86.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 69 | 82.6%57 W · 12 L | +15.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +37%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Under | 52c | 83.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 53c | 82.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 53c | 81.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 53c | 81.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 58c | 75.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Under | 52c | 73.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 56c | 67.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 25c | 63.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 49c | 63.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…5165backed Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 45c | 59.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 48c | 56.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 49.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Under | 63c | 47.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b3cbacked Over | 37c | 33.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 43c | 32.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…5971backed Over | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 29.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 45c | 25.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 59c | 22.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 58c | 20.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
- Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.