La Liga · resolved market
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x427341341373d691806e5ca60a5215249c26806930c3c1f3cbd45f256c025e31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.98 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 4,117$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.3 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under | 65c | 3,407$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.56 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 48c | 712.62$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.91 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 605.1$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.78 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 589.89$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.58 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Over | 49c | 515.74$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 51c | 475.23$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.86 | 1,017 | 33.4%340 W · 677 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f3…1732backed Over | 44c | 299.91$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 60c | 264.28$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 47c | 177.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 60c | 158.8$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 60c | 152.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 60c | 152.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 66c | 116.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…b729backed Over | 46c | 107.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 30c | 99.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…5a76backed Under | 54c | 99.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 60c | 98.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 38c | 96.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 60c | 83.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 75.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 60c | 64.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Under | 66c | 57.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 46c | 42.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 35.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Under | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Under | 70c | 19.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 60c | 16.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5this page
- Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5Over won
- Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.