Other European Leagues · resolved market
Tromsø IL vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59fb272f0f5ea0c0d37977b78b781ef687ba52e554f05f144f7365eeb3cc02bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,930$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.59 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…8647backed Over | 80c | 534.19$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 63c | 391.83$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.85 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 77c | 316.88$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 293.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.5 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 37c | 274.77$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.11 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 21c | 270.59$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.76 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 28c | 236.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.61 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…b729backed Over | 68c | 191.18$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Under | 21c | 175.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.51 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 40c | 139.23$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.93 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 57c | 135.09$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 126.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Over | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 76c | 113.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Under | 76c | 99.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 30c | 96.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 36c | 88.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Over | 79c | 72.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 26c | 62.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777e…8ae9backed Under | 22c | 54.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 78c | 54.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 80c | 54.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 20c | 54.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 40c | 42.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2245…29eabacked Over | 72c | 25.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…27d6backed Under | 53c | 20.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…3003backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tromsø IL vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-1.5)Tromsø IL won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)Lillestrøm SK won
- Tromsø IL vs. Lillestrøm SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tromsø IL vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.