Other European Leagues · resolved market
Tromsø IL vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80de3ecace905777b4b08e3b2bf4a832bfc9d4dd1bab0d3f2dd8015f6ea401c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 45c | 25,689$11,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,129.14 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 55c | 12,727$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Over | 55c | 3,864$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…08cdbacked Over | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 47c | 2,615$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.62 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 1,894$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.54 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 55c | 1,813$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 46c | 1,702$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 45c | 1,667$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.66 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 41c | 1,012$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.8 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 665.33$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.73 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 57c | 442.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc94…9793backed Under | 45c | 441.89$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 54c | 230.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 54c | 230.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 54c | 230.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 44c | 207$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…82bcbacked Over | 55c | 158.18$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…1ec6backed Under | 46c | 143.13$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 45c | 100.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 54c | 99.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 55c | 96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 94.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Under | 51c | 69.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Under | 46c | 60.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 45.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 55c | 43.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Under | 46c | 43.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 41c | 35.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…6c90backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabd…54fcbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d60…de4bbacked Over | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 43c | 26.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fe…9af6backed Under | 62c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tromsø IL vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-1.5)Tromsø IL won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)Lillestrøm SK won
- Tromsø IL vs. Lillestrøm SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tromsø IL vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.