Tennis · resolved market
Chisinau: Daniel Dutra da Silva vs Liam Broady
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed2799c750359c335b0ab7bbca7e4099ed85e2c91c68e5864f48492e8cec436d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liam Broadyof Daniel Dutra da Silva, Liam Broady
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 16c | 2,297$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.51 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Liam Broady | 75c | 1,217$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.51 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 38c | 999.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 17c | 836.55$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.62 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 17c | 726.68$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.49 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 15c | 700.28$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 15c | 677.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 18c | 640.05$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.74 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 26c | 624.05$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.44 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 40c | 513.6$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.44 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Liam Broady | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Liam Broady | 62c | 403.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.22 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Liam Broady | 62c | 317.44$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.63 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 6c | 290.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 39c | 255.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…b6d7backed Liam Broady | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Liam Broady | 62c | 229.56$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…df4bbacked Liam Broady | 62c | 205$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Liam Broady | 60c | 199.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 19c | 177.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Liam Broady | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 160 | 55%88 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 22c | 132.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Liam Broady | 60c | 121.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x534a…023abacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 21c | 102.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7dffbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 12c | 98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 144 | 15.3%22 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 38c | 84.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…58c5backed Liam Broady | 62c | 82.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Liam Broady | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Liam Broady | 79c | 76.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 18c | 69.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 19c | 54.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Liam Broady | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Liam Broady | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e22…7a57backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 40c | 31.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 38c | 31.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…4377backed Liam Broady | 62c | 23.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Liam Broady | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Liam Broady | 62c | 16.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.