TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Little Rock: Johannus Monday vs Braden Shick

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Johannus Mondayof Johannus Monday, Braden Shick
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,238
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,238 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xffe9…a70ebacked Braden Shick42c4,325$1,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,816.583447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Johannus Monday58c2,228$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.844,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Braden Shick20c2,042$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.348,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Braden Shick17c1,960$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.854,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde21…594dbacked Johannus Monday57c1,900$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8081384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+63.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Braden Shick42c1,789$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.381,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ff…ed99backed Johannus Monday58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.19785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde0f…ddd3backed Braden Shick46c1,463$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.3310437.5%39 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Johannus Monday75c1,392$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.026,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Johannus Monday58c1,277$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.1943449.1%213 W · 221 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Johannus Monday78c1,234$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.088,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Braden Shick43c1,159$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50043334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…56ffbacked Braden Shick44c1,155$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50811832.2%38 W · 80 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Braden Shick9c1,137$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.178840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3555…ba40backed Braden Shick42c1,069$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4496758.2%39 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Braden Shick42c1,028$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.83,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Braden Shick24c947.33$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.3657321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Braden Shick28c934.71$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.964,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb897…c669backed Johannus Monday77c885.5$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.542334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Johannus Monday57c852.84$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.131,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Braden Shick30c819.64$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.3525134.3%86 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1da…441ebacked Johannus Monday63c788.96$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.243669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x720e…17b0backed Johannus Monday79c748.62$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.217862.8%49 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a06…f003backed Braden Shick14c741.28$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.182548%12 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Johannus Monday68c662.93$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.098,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Braden Shick15c635.26$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.851,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Braden Shick42c634.07$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.843,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Johannus Monday56c630$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.22,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Braden Shick24c540.31$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2743750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Johannus Monday59c530.51$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.9757842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Johannus Monday58c527.21$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.43988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick61cpaid+46.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Braden Shick41c468.29$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1924,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…5715backed Johannus Monday58c466$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7210234.3%35 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Braden Shick44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009556.8%54 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Braden Shick42c452$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8438952.2%203 W · 186 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1f…9136backed Johannus Monday59c425.3$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.39751.5%50 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Braden Shick30c384.84$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.871,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Braden Shick40c375.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0681047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Johannus Monday68c373.6$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.782,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Johannus Monday58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8323159.3%137 W · 94 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Johannus Monday59c333.34$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.671,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f6b…b245backed Johannus Monday59c329.15$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.957162%44 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…7677backed Braden Shick28c306.44$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.24333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed Braden Shick21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Johannus Monday75c295.76$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5522154.8%121 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…04edbacked Braden Shick28c264.12$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+55.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Johannus Monday59c250.24$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.983,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Johannus Monday60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10025250%126 W · 126 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Braden Shick47c236.17$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11115440.9%63 W · 91 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Braden Shick33c231.82$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.111,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Braden Shick44c227.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Braden Shick42c214.29$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9064350.2%323 W · 320 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Braden Shick41c213$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.337,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Braden Shick46c195$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.12,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Braden Shick43c179.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.49545.3%43 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee0a…36d8backed Johannus Monday56c179.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5438262.3%238 W · 144 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79d0…4dffbacked Braden Shick23c174.7$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4131220.5%64 W · 248 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Johannus Monday58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4136554.2%198 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x260b…aa9ebacked Braden Shick26c171.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.74450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked Johannus Monday60c169.37$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7511844.9%53 W · 65 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Johannus Monday60c168.06$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.221,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb8f…9166backed Braden Shick30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505516.4%9 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick21cpaid+16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Johannus Monday66c161.64$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.416,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Johannus Monday53c147.36$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.263,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked Braden Shick43c144.14$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.982445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Johannus Monday58c144.07$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.512774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Braden Shick42c143.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.447,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Braden Shick42c137$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5481457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9bc…377ebacked Braden Shick27c131.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3524918.5%46 W · 203 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked Johannus Monday80c125.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…58c5backed Johannus Monday59c118.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.644158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Johannus Monday66c115.31$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.954,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Braden Shick42c115$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.381255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x585e…019fbacked Johannus Monday53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2110152.5%53 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x741a…b692backed Braden Shick41c109.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Johannus Monday74c107.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.92,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Braden Shick23c103.35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.46341.3%26 W · 37 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Johannus Monday58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4256062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7210…4bb5backed Johannus Monday60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe31d…e7a4backed Johannus Monday60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4012748.8%62 W · 65 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Braden Shick37c98.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6383047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Braden Shick42c92.72$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1717338.7%67 W · 106 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+77.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Braden Shick27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Johannus Monday67c91.9$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.281,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Johannus Monday76c89.01$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.331,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3bf…a509backed Johannus Monday57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.72944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Johannus Monday60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3338664%247 W · 139 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Braden Shick44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.81,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Johannus Monday57c75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.251,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Johannus Monday80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Braden Shick23c73.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.871,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Johannus Monday57c72.03$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.972,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bca…43efbacked Braden Shick43c70.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.11666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Braden Shick26c66.65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.283349.6%32 W · 302 L-16.7wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Braden Shick42c63.45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6530554.4%166 W · 139 L-1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Braden Shick52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Braden Shick43c57.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5781256.2%456 W · 356 L-3.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Braden Shick23c55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.652,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Johannus Monday56c54.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.117,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf75…cd85backed Johannus Monday58c52.79$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.06425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.