Tennis · resolved market
Kosice: Pedro Sakamoto vs Stefan Dostanic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4317a961ef5f3bfb52ad2c9ba6bac53d4f6cb64742604bf9c73f653a30538fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefan Dostanicof Pedro Sakamoto, Stefan Dostanic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pedro Sakamoto | 7c | 2,045$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.71 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Pedro Sakamoto | 32c | 1,598$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.84 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Pedro Sakamoto | 22c | 1,445$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.36 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Stefan Dostanic | 68c | 1,036$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.66 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Pedro Sakamoto | 32c | 999.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Pedro Sakamoto | 29c | 975.89$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.01 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Stefan Dostanic | 80c | 675.34$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.13 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Stefan Dostanic | 78c | 641$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.02 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Stefan Dostanic | 69c | 542.29$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.35 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Stefan Dostanic | 77c | 480$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Stefan Dostanic | 78c | 396.15$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Pedro Sakamoto | 21c | 364.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Stefan Dostanic | 68c | 293.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.02 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pedro Sakamoto | 9c | 279.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Stefan Dostanic | 71c | 277.76$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Pedro Sakamoto | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 209 | 38.3%80 W · 129 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Stefan Dostanic | 71c | 211.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Pedro Sakamoto | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Stefan Dostanic | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Stefan Dostanic | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Stefan Dostanic | 71c | 126.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Pedro Sakamoto | 19c | 122.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pedro Sakamoto | 13c | 118.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Stefan Dostanic | 66c | 104.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb770…11b9backed Pedro Sakamoto | 29c | 86.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Stefan Dostanic | 66c | 82.93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…ae58backed Stefan Dostanic | 69c | 74.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Stefan Dostanic | 68c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Stefan Dostanic | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Pedro Sakamoto | 33c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Pedro Sakamoto | 23c | 63.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Stefan Dostanic | 79c | 63.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Pedro Sakamoto | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Stefan Dostanic | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Pedro Sakamoto | 17c | 58.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Stefan Dostanic | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Stefan Dostanic | 68c | 45.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a5…b591backed Stefan Dostanic | 68c | 45.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Pedro Sakamoto | 31c | 43.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Stefan Dostanic | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e5…7b0fbacked Stefan Dostanic | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Pedro Sakamoto | 28c | 37.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Stefan Dostanic | 74c | 32.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Stefan Dostanic | 71c | 32.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Stefan Dostanic | 68c | 30.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Stefan Dostanic | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 160 | 55%88 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Stefan Dostanic | 71c | 27.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Stefan Dostanic | 74c | 25.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 194 | 74.7%145 W · 49 L | +34.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Stefan Dostanic | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Stefan Dostanic | 77c | 12.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.