MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x639c9cdc3cb2a21dc2d059d91d44c6eab5144a209f10e46211dc0b5ee7efd182
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof St. Louis Cardinals, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $538,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $604,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $538,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 75,886$40,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,907.34 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 45,428$24,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,350.97 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 36,406$20,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,608.4 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Diego Padres | 33c | 35,727$11,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,940.43 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 33,679$15,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,492.12 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 21,500$9,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,890 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 20,478$8,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,805.36 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 16,007$7,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,318.5 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…f21ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 0c | 15,992$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed San Diego Padres | 76c | 13,152$9,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,162.64 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 12,632$6,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,936.84 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 12,000$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,519.98 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 11,906$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…129abacked San Diego Padres | 78c | 9,187$7,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.56 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 8,963$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…66a9backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 8,938$4,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,958.94 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 7,166$3,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,318.92 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed San Diego Padres | 25c | 5,831$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,372.72 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…7e55backed St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 5,125$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,940.4 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 5,000$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.84 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 10c | 4,696$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,231.85 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 4,522$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.77 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 4,479$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.94 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 4,352$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.01 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 3,912$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.01 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 3,200$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.5 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 3,187$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.26 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.99 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 2,912$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.26 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 2,680$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.78 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 2,394$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.21 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed San Diego Padres | 9c | 2,128$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.21 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 2,027$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.63 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed San Diego Padres | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,780$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.44 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 1,554$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.12 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,409$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.33 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 32c | 1,374$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.65 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 1,280$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.67 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked San Diego Padres | 29c | 1,273$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.69 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 1,112$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.89 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed San Diego Padres | 8c | 1,108$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.01 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 1,102$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.84 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…4911backed San Diego Padres | 17c | 1,040$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.09 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 1,031$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.26 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…e2dbbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 942.46$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.53 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 901.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.25 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 868$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.71 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed St. Louis Cardinals | 16c | 839.27$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.31 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…0464backed St. Louis Cardinals | 73c | 793.08$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.95 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…d25fbacked San Diego Padres | 31c | 764$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.16 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 698.98$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.93 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…3586backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 683.84$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.44 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed St. Louis Cardinals | 17c | 615.29$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.51 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…7c30backed St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 613.08$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 583$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.35 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 571.76$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.39 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 510.55$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.96 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Diego Padres | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 476.26$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.58 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 460.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 459.87$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.54 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 451.08$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.72 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 444.44$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.25 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…78ddbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 435.27$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.14 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 430.63$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.6 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 407.43$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.05 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 382$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.08 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 374.93$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.47 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 334.96$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 325.56$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.08 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 323.55$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…a35ebacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 322$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.82 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 317.82$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.85 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d7…f533backed San Diego Padres | 69c | 291.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed San Diego Padres | 11c | 280.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.64 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed San Diego Padres | 19c | 276.22$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.61 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Diego Padres | 6c | 266.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.67 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…8267backed St. Louis Cardinals | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 265.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.58 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked San Diego Padres | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 258.38$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.69 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked San Diego Padres | 19c | 245.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.79 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked San Diego Padres | 10c | 244.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 240$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 238$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…d406backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 227.8$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.8 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed San Diego Padres | 10c | 225.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 219.02$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.16 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9586…de67backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 216.87$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.61 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…fcb5backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 214.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae37…90f2backed San Diego Padres | 7c | 212.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.05 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.