Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Gauff vs Andreeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65ef862f814c7135ce4e386328ba43246b1dba99af45dd7de0da749758df8a5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andreevaof Gauff, Andreeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x625d…c6a1backed Gauff | 22c | 824.35$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.41 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Andreeva | 60c | 701.12$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.2 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gauff | 47c | 323.24$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.92 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Andreeva | 77c | 303.12$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Gauff | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Andreeva | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Gauff | 48c | 195$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.65 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…ff59backed Andreeva | 52c | 192.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Gauff | 47c | 113.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Gauff | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Andreeva | 77c | 98.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Andreeva | 77c | 98.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Andreeva | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 242 | 59.9%145 W · 97 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Andreeva | 69c | 64.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b9…3d3bbacked Gauff | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Gauff | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Andreeva | 80c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Andreeva | 53c | 55.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Andreeva | 53c | 51.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 323 | 33.4%108 W · 215 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Gauff | 47c | 46.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Andreeva | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Andreeva | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Gauff vs Andreevathis page
- Coco Gauff vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Gauff vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Gauff vs. Andreeva: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Gauff vs. Andreeva: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra AndreevaCoco Gauff won
- Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Gauff (+1.5)Gauff won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.