TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Thomas Faurel vs Jay Clarke

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thomas Faurelof Thomas Faurel, Jay Clarke
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,365

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,004 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Jay Clarke12c7,469$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.518,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jay Clarke18c6,317$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.5211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x625d…c6a1backed Thomas Faurel33c2,432$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.092839.3%11 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Jay Clarke71c2,285$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.211,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Jay Clarke69c2,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.9527944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Thomas Faurel79c1,947$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.791,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Jay Clarke69c1,443$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00050458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Thomas Faurel31c1,284$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.211,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Thomas Faurel65c1,278$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.334,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Thomas Faurel29c1,266$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.8578152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Jay Clarke11c1,104$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1232240.7%131 W · 191 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed Jay Clarke29c1,033$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.0714835.8%53 W · 95 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Jay Clarke2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021317.4%37 W · 176 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Thomas Faurel79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Thomas Faurel32c688.91$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.242,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Jay Clarke62c646.68$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.181,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Thomas Faurel31c608.93$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.382,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Thomas Faurel31c592.32$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.785250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1400…765dbacked Jay Clarke6c550.09$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5232732.1%105 W · 222 L-0.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Jay Clarke37c535.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20087337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Thomas Faurel76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.59,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed Jay Clarke25c484.88$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12016018.1%29 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Thomas Faurel68c474.7$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.624,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed Jay Clarke7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302228.6%19 W · 203 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed Jay Clarke22c426.94$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.538422.4%86 W · 298 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thomas Faurel28c363.11$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.418,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Jay Clarke36c320.82$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.695,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Thomas Faurel29c300$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21334549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Jay Clarke21c277.88$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3385624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Jay Clarke31c270.05$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.034,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0373…6d6bbacked Thomas Faurel31c250$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.55749.1%28 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Thomas Faurel18c245.49$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.532,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Thomas Faurel31c241$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.297,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Jay Clarke38c238.03$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.652341.5%217 W · 306 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Thomas Faurel33c230.05$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.837,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Thomas Faurel30c227.24$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.074,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Thomas Faurel24c215.13$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.53,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Thomas Faurel32c213.06$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.2365849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Thomas Faurel63c195.26$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6667838.3%260 W · 418 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e1…0458backed Jay Clarke42c194.39$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.95839.7%23 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Thomas Faurel29c172.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.418551.9%96 W · 89 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Thomas Faurel29c172.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.419548.2%94 W · 101 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Thomas Faurel29c172.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.414452.8%76 W · 68 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Thomas Faurel30c171.06$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7443353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Thomas Faurel29c163.2$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.877,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Thomas Faurel64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2528562.8%179 W · 106 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Jay Clarke69c147.26$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2852750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Jay Clarke70c140.85$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.61,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Thomas Faurel36c140.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.921,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Jay Clarke76c131.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Jay Clarke46c131.01$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.152,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Jay Clarke70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7056062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Thomas Faurel29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7136349.9%181 W · 182 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Jay Clarke67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Jay Clarke69c99.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9918247.3%86 W · 96 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Thomas Faurel78c98.93$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.979260.9%56 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Jay Clarke76c93.42$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7140161.1%245 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ff…78aebacked Jay Clarke22c91.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015928.9%46 W · 113 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Jay Clarke69c88.08$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.783,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x175e…8e46backed Jay Clarke70c85.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010363.1%65 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Thomas Faurel80c82.5$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.53,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Jay Clarke68c80.09$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.461,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6419…0f53backed Jay Clarke68c79.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.263852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae2…b324backed Jay Clarke65c73.14$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb375…af18backed Thomas Faurel22c68.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.181533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x952f…6201backed Jay Clarke75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccf6…b29fbacked Jay Clarke67c65.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.979448.9%46 W · 48 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Thomas Faurel57c65.32$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.257,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Thomas Faurel30c63.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3527733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5de…88dabacked Jay Clarke80c62.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2614156%79 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0527…a978backed Jay Clarke67c61.34$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.12065%13 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3145…d692backed Thomas Faurel76c57.95$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.933767.6%25 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Jay Clarke52c52.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.296,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2688…9197backed Thomas Faurel31c49.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3433558.5%196 W · 139 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Thomas Faurel31c48.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3451644.8%231 W · 285 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Thomas Faurel31c48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.122,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Thomas Faurel64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8841850%209 W · 209 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Thomas Faurel66c46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8435187.7%308 W · 43 L+66.4wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+29.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Jay Clarke72c44.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0426244.7%117 W · 145 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Thomas Faurel64c43.75$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.752,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Jay Clarke25c43.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7134729.4%102 W · 245 L-35.6wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Jay Clarke69c43.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Thomas Faurel30c43.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3351347%241 W · 272 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe23e…5861backed Thomas Faurel35c42.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.84633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d75…26fbbacked Jay Clarke71c42.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016358.9%96 W · 67 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf676…9a00backed Jay Clarke71c42.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020158.7%118 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Jay Clarke71c42.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3088560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Thomas Faurel32c42.05$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.598450%42 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Thomas Faurel29c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.492138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Jay Clarke25c39.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.158048.4%281 W · 299 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Thomas Faurel72c38.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.941,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Jay Clarke68c36.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.761,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Thomas Faurel67c36.26$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0955243.3%239 W · 313 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Jay Clarke68c33.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.851,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Jay Clarke70c33.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.262,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Thomas Faurel31c33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.772,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0813…41e1backed Jay Clarke75c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.537158.8%218 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c74…9ee1backed Jay Clarke70c29.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8130%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Jay Clarke41c28.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4792145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Thomas Faurel75c27.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8856070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.