Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Clement Chidekh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66b81d1ad3be0be8a2796546a27335602936f6af258e3cb61132ee15eb36f000
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joel Schwaerzlerof Joel Schwaerzler, Clement Chidekh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Clement Chidekh | 11c | 19,776$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.98 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Clement Chidekh | 12c | 2,506$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.07 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x625d…c6a1backed Clement Chidekh | 27c | 1,481$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Joel Schwaerzler | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 949 | 68.1%646 W · 303 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Clement Chidekh | 15c | 1,100$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Clement Chidekh | 29c | 806.03$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.75 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Clement Chidekh | 27c | 465.5$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.69 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Clement Chidekh | 16c | 334.09$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Joel Schwaerzler | 76c | 329.35$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Clement Chidekh | 31c | 323.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Clement Chidekh | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Clement Chidekh | 9c | 294$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 439 | 50.8%223 W · 216 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Clement Chidekh | 28c | 236.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 302 | 35.1%106 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Clement Chidekh | 35c | 189.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Clement Chidekh | 16c | 182.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Clement Chidekh | 12c | 180.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Clement Chidekh | 16c | 164.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Clement Chidekh | 29c | 133.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Clement Chidekh | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Clement Chidekh | 13c | 119.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 590 | 50.5%298 W · 292 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Joel Schwaerzler | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Joel Schwaerzler | 72c | 93.57$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Joel Schwaerzler | 72c | 89.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Clement Chidekh | 27c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Clement Chidekh | 30c | 66.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Clement Chidekh | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Clement Chidekh | 25c | 63.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 988 | 41.3%408 W · 580 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…fc59backed Clement Chidekh | 28c | 52.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 31.1%41 W · 91 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…9a00backed Joel Schwaerzler | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 201 | 58.7%118 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Joel Schwaerzler | 73c | 47.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…26fbbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…2c73backed Joel Schwaerzler | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Joel Schwaerzler | 80c | 38.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Joel Schwaerzler | 70c | 37.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Joel Schwaerzler | 78c | 36.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf571…d2dcbacked Clement Chidekh | 29c | 35.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Joel Schwaerzler | 74c | 35.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Joel Schwaerzler | 73c | 25.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Joel Schwaerzler | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 336 | 55.1%185 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…f1f6backed Joel Schwaerzler | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Joel Schwaerzler | 73c | 14.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 1,085 | 73.7%800 W · 285 L | +40.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.