MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd82280270dd4269ef69a84fe460058c8f690d14f373c860f42e2077437be07c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof New York Mets, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $281,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $343,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked New York Mets | 49c | 37,000$18,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,130 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 1c | 32,898$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.26 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 29,566$15,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,217.32 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 51c | 14,343$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.89 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 8,875$4,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,348.83 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 45c | 8,217$3,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,697.37 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked New York Mets | 21c | 6,454$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.71 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets | 27c | 6,237$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.93 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…00e7backed New York Mets | 46c | 5,749$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.68 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 4,700$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 3,886$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.33 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 49c | 3,266$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.34 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 3,006$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.62 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 28c | 2,829$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.71 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked New York Mets | 22c | 2,681$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.28 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,480$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.37 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Mets | 1c | 2,305$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 79c | 2,223$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.12 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,189$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.11 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed New York Mets | 15c | 2,038$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.26 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,865$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.57 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,640$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.4 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,510$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.21 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…a73abacked New York Mets | 23c | 1,269$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.93 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Mets | 49c | 1,196$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.23 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 73c | 1,155$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.92 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed New York Mets | 24c | 1,086$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 79c | 1,005$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.26 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets | 46c | 970.75$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.26 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Mets | 45c | 958$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.55 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 29c | 940.23$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.26 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 78c | 777.26$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.06 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 49c | 725.5$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.5 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked New York Mets | 3c | 648.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 637.05$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.05 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 626.55$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.87 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 524$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.33 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 444$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.44 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 407.69$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.69 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 65c | 375.38$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.16 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed New York Mets | 48c | 361$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.28 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 301.82$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 68c | 292.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.06 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 268.18$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.33 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…8267backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…3ceabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 257.14$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.14 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…d406backed New York Mets | 31c | 256.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 73c | 248.57$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 240$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked New York Mets | 24c | 235$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed New York Mets | 29c | 230.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 69c | 226.17$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 79c | 218.82$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…ba85backed New York Mets | 22c | 209.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked New York Mets | 49c | 199.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked New York Mets | 6c | 192.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked New York Mets | 32c | 188.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5928backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 182.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 153.39$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed New York Mets | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked New York Mets | 22c | 138.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed New York Mets | 32c | 134.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed New York Mets | 25c | 130$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 80c | 125.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e4…2e35backed New York Mets | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 122$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed New York Mets | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed New York Mets | 49c | 119.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets | 31c | 117.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets | 43c | 108.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets | 25c | 105$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed New York Mets | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520b…7645backed New York Mets | 39c | 101.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed New York Mets | 30c | 101$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 100.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed New York Mets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed New York Mets | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked New York Mets | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 95.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…e227backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed New York Mets | 23c | 86.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 84.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked New York Mets | 49c | 80.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 261 | 48.3%126 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked New York Mets | 49c | 79.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 880 | 45.1%397 W · 483 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed New York Mets | 26c | 78.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked New York Mets | 50c | 72.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 69c | 72.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed New York Mets | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…10d9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.