MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32a4e5a8f3bf000f2a7b5794f9148953b7d357bf26b7821c552bcb2491729144
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 13,000$6,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,239.97 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 8,902$4,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276.01 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 4,863$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.76 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 3,299$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.65 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 2,888$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.26 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 2,511$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.45 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 2,000$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.08 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…a8efbacked San Francisco Giants | 8c | 1,851$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.08 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,508$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.22 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,306$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.98 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,280$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.6 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 837.43$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.34 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 814.45$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.94 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 809.62$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.62 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 801.92$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.92 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 587.08$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.67 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 567.17$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.83 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 499.79$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.3 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 298.92$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.56 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…2ff1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 292.92$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.67 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 224.91$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 172$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked San Francisco Giants | 12c | 99.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 98.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 86.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 81.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 80.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d989backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 73.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…a471backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…c086backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 52.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 50.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 43.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 41.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…ce0fbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 40.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…ffb9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 39.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 37.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb76…28f3backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 37.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…ec82backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 215 | 54.9%118 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 29.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 25.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 268 | 54.1%145 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 78c | 24.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 4.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.