MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62932c47c6c31fc94bed49195039669425c604867d9d1948816c977e2cc9688c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 28c | 4,718$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,393.7 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 68c | 4,319$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.98 | 11,102 | 51.5%5,715 W · 5,387 L | +135.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 891.99$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.05 | 11,653 | 52.8%6,157 W · 5,496 L | +214.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 46c | 749$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.54 | 4,120 | 57.6%2,375 W · 1,745 L | +67.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…8cdcbacked Over | 55c | 727.64$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 406.21$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.25 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed Over | 51c | 390.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 37c | 338$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 1,894 | 52.9%1,001 W · 893 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 28c | 235.15$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 66c | 199.85$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.59 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Over | 54c | 181.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 32c | 179.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 67c | 126.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 8,484 | 47.9%4,062 W · 4,422 L | +79.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 62c | 107.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 63c | 105.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under | 32c | 102.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Under | 33c | 94.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…c249backed Under | 47c | 91.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under | 66c | 88.75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Under | 33c | 88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 72c | 79.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 5,861 | 43.7%2,562 W · 3,299 L | -190.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Under | 33c | 71.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…543dbacked Over | 79c | 63.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Under | 33c | 59.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Under | 55c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 5,182 | 54.6%2,829 W · 2,353 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 270 | 53.7%145 W · 125 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 51c | 30.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 4.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.