Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Prizmic vs Djokovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ac90aec3bb21cdb77a0baea34b9aba0543a88ae0019f6d2505f60e796b63d10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovicof Prizmic, Djokovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Prizmic | 9c | 550$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Djokovic | 61c | 399.99$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Prizmic | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Djokovic | 58c | 237.86$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.85 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Djokovic | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Djokovic | 57c | 159.08$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Prizmic | 42c | 130.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Prizmic | 39c | 128$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 468 | 48.5%227 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Prizmic | 39c | 113.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Djokovic | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Djokovic | 70c | 96.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Prizmic | 34c | 57.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0114…fbfabacked Djokovic | 62c | 54.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…9248backed Prizmic | 35c | 54.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Prizmic | 39c | 53.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Prizmic | 24c | 42.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Djokovic | 58c | 37.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Djokovic | 66c | 28.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Djokovic | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…002bbacked Djokovic | 76c | 18.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Prizmic vs Djokovicthis page
- Dino Prizmic vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak DjokovicDino Prizmic won
- Prizmic vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Prizmic (+1.5)Prizmic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.