Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Prizmic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54571e6bbf4f1825a17e7695b629890a940af744400c698972e084d17a926817
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Prizmicof Djokovic, Prizmic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Prizmic | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Djokovic | 41c | 5,592$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.85 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Prizmic | 59c | 3,317$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.01 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Djokovic | 44c | 2,619$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.14 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Djokovic | 40c | 2,517$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.75 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Prizmic | 60c | 2,515$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.62 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Prizmic | 54c | 2,405$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.13 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Djokovic | 46c | 1,703$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.35 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…6679backed Djokovic | 42c | 1,656$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Djokovic | 49c | 850$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…b3e6backed Djokovic | 47c | 573.09$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Prizmic | 47c | 535.68$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.91 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Djokovic | 44c | 449.35$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 325 | 54.2%176 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Djokovic | 52c | 417.02$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.02 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Prizmic | 52c | 408.92$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.36 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Prizmic | 52c | 381.91$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.91 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Djokovic | 41c | 298.92$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.56 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Prizmic | 59c | 296.61$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.61 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e7dfbacked Prizmic | 61c | 294.6$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Djokovic | 40c | 265.58$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.68 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed Prizmic | 48c | 221.45$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.15 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +9.1wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Djokovic | 41c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…31e3backed Prizmic | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Prizmic | 58c | 184.37$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Prizmic | 61c | 162.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Djokovic | 38c | 132.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Djokovic | 43c | 129.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Prizmic | 47c | 126.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Prizmic | 53c | 125.53$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Prizmic | 59c | 122.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Djokovic | 42c | 119.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…05fcbacked Djokovic | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Prizmic | 58c | 102$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Djokovic | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Prizmic | 31c | 84.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 18cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Djokovic | 55c | 72.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed Prizmic | 45c | 65.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Prizmic | 47c | 64.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe321…b456backed Prizmic | 57c | 52.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Prizmic | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Prizmic | 54c | 46.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Prizmic | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Prizmic | 54c | 44.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Prizmic | 59c | 39.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Djokovic | 45c | 39.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Prizmic | 59c | 37.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Djokovic | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Prizmic | 60c | 28.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Prizmic | 59c | 26.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e2…9a52backed Djokovic | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Prizmic | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Prizmic (+1.5)this page
- Dino Prizmic vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak DjokovicDino Prizmic won
- Prizmic vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Prizmic vs DjokovicDjokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.