MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c69ea02fb229ee1d367f333f5300c9ad1ee1dc6a569eb9c26e64eb78903fff8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $420,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $414,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $420,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 43,054$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,053.97 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 28,863$12,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,169.69 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kansas City Royals | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…129abacked Detroit Tigers | 77c | 23,401$18,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,381.1 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 19,047$10,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,095.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 19c | 18,009$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,481.07 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 17,021$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,021.38 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 16,846$6,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.37 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 14,938$8,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,066.43 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 13,553$7,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,318.62 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 12,513$6,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,232.38 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 12,492$6,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,620.93 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe512…a0d3backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 8,839$4,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,684.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 8,835$4,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,688.79 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf110…7f8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 6,846$3,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Kansas City Royals | 24c | 6,533$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.01 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Kansas City Royals | 32c | 6,450$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.35 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 6,427$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.04 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals | 34c | 5,640$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.63 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.11 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 33c | 4,929$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…b58fbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 4,521$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 4,108$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.75 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 25c | 4,096$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.51 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 4,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.98 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Detroit Tigers | 63c | 3,559$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.06 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 3,552$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.11 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Kansas City Royals | 0c | 3,300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 31c | 3,056$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.88 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 3,000$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 2,876$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.9 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 2,675$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.7 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 24c | 2,503$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.38 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 2,349$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.65 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 2,248$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.64 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 2,092$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.01 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 1,916$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.2 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 1,859$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.57 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 1,826$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.04 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kansas City Royals | 18c | 1,826$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.98 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 1,751$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.88 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 1,697$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.41 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 1,602$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.26 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 1,205$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.25 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 1,028$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.99 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 1,027$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.04 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…0b92backed Detroit Tigers | 74c | 996.44$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.19 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Detroit Tigers | 75c | 953$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.82 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…4f39backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 930.85$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kansas City Royals | 31c | 859.71$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.1 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Kansas City Royals | 2c | 844.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Detroit Tigers | 73c | 785.98$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.6 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 754.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 748.69$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.54 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…2641backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 723$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 69c | 706.22$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.88 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 691.7$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.2 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 609.56$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.71 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 609.08$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 605.4$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.86 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 523.95$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.53 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 519.97$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.22 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Detroit Tigers | 71c | 480.73$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 447$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.38 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 403.51$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.11 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 400$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…070fbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 394.96$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 365.72$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.49 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Detroit Tigers | 72c | 328.17$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 312$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.71 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals | 6c | 311.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Detroit Tigers | 65c | 309.65$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.86 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…a8c6backed Kansas City Royals | 28c | 296.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…baafbacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 264.28$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 261.24$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.62 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 249.34$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.15 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 245.87$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 241.95$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.69 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed Detroit Tigers | 77c | 231.12$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 38.5%62 W · 99 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…db25backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 223.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Kansas City Royals | 19c | 221.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 221$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 218$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 215.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.59 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 215.6$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.56 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d7…f533backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dd…5672backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.