CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1e6d6c0337eea22e632df895eaaec4f1fba08e0f6a9e49a9d6403e97ff729f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof Keyd, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,091 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Keyd | 7c | 1,281$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Keyd | 30c | 1,200$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.81 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ShindeN | 72c | 1,129$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.86 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ShindeN | 74c | 552$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.35 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ShindeN | 69c | 534.53$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.9 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Keyd | 27c | 503.79$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed ShindeN | 70c | 378.4$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked ShindeN | 72c | 300.32$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.88 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…a329backed Keyd | 15c | 272.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked ShindeN | 76c | 188$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Keyd | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Keyd | 25c | 84.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed ShindeN | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed ShindeN | 70c | 71.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Keyd | 25c | 69.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ShindeN | 73c | 65.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Keyd | 28c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Keyd | 22c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Keyd | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe4…dd93backed Keyd | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked ShindeN | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Keyd | 24c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Keyd | 31c | 38.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Keyd | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed ShindeN | 75c | 32.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeda…001ebacked ShindeN | 65c | 28.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked ShindeN | 69c | 16.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ShindeN - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ShindeN - Map 2 WinnerShindeN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.