Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs Rybakina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47d2d731f6d356ccd30a21c0d468000220c45b08d245539f90418a32d08814e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rybakinaof Svitolina, Rybakina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f75…af7ebacked Rybakina | 68c | 7,303$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.19 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Svitolina | 31c | 5,048$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.94 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Svitolina | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Svitolina | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Svitolina | 33c | 776$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.34 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Rybakina | 66c | 760.76$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.76 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Svitolina | 34c | 716.97$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.77 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Svitolina | 35c | 499.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.91 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Svitolina | 38c | 252.89$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Rybakina | 65c | 110$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Rybakina | 64c | 78.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 242 | 59.9%145 W · 97 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Svitolina | 36c | 73.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Svitolina | 38c | 72.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Svitolina | 38c | 64.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Rybakina | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Svitolina | 18c | 61.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rybakina | 71c | 50.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Svitolina | 37c | 47.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +14.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Rybakina | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Rybakina | 65c | 45.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…2ba5backed Svitolina | 31c | 38.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…2e00backed Rybakina | 65c | 29.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rybakina | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b8…cc33backed Rybakina | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs Rybakinathis page
- Elina Svitolina vs. Elena Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena RybakinaElina Svitolina won
- Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)Svitolina won
- Svitolina vs. Rybakina: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Svitolina vs. Rybakina: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.