Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb27990dfd3757396380c290a133c77c5673d9c34ca63616a4770e6358f69439d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Svitolinaof Rybakina, Svitolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Svitolina | 52c | 2,062$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.07 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…6679backed Rybakina | 48c | 1,034$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…d56cbacked Rybakina | 54c | 1,025$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 244 | 51.6%126 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Svitolina | 56c | 838.44$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.44 | 1,125 | 42.8%482 W · 643 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Rybakina | 48c | 457.56$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Svitolina | 55c | 365.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.09 | 850 | 57.5%489 W · 361 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Rybakina | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Svitolina | 52c | 262.23$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.24 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Svitolina | 55c | 200.32$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.15 | 247 | 47.4%117 W · 130 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Svitolina | 50c | 195.4$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 365 | 35.1%128 W · 237 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Svitolina | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 685 | 57.8%396 W · 289 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Svitolina | 56c | 178.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Rybakina | 46c | 156$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Rybakina | 55c | 150.91$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…9dcdbacked Rybakina | 47c | 122.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rybakina | 55c | 102.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Rybakina | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 240 | 55%132 W · 108 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Rybakina | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Rybakina | 44c | 97.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 1,515 | 37.7%571 W · 944 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Rybakina | 45c | 85.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Svitolina | 22c | 77.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Rybakina | 45c | 70.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Svitolina | 36c | 69.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Rybakina | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Svitolina | 33c | 56.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Svitolina | 32c | 53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Rybakina | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Svitolina | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…7d50backed Rybakina | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Rybakina | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 427 | 45.7%195 W · 232 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Svitolina | 54c | 31.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0483…483bbacked Rybakina | 46c | 25.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Svitolina | 54c | 25.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Svitolina | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Rybakina | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)this page
- Elina Svitolina vs. Elena Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena RybakinaElina Svitolina won
- Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs RybakinaRybakina won
- Svitolina vs. Rybakina: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Svitolina vs. Rybakina: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.