Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu before August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6efc34dfe6db416a38429ec507eb699557e5b6935ba549534a0763af8ebfc829
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $248,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00b7…cfa0backed No | 1c | 11,500$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 10,312$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed No | 3c | 8,070$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 2c | 7,244$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.39 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked No | 2c | 7,010$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.57 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 44c | 6,956$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.64 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 56c | 6,324$3,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.75 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…f720backed No | 0c | 6,029$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 5,232$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 4,895$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed No | 2c | 4,326$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed No | 16c | 4,226$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.25 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…7057backed No | 1c | 4,067$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 1c | 4,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 7c | 3,989$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.48 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed No | 1c | 3,672$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ae…5245backed No | 2c | 3,506$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 2c | 3,319$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 93 | 1.1%1 W · 92 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -94.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8252…e65cbacked No | 2c | 3,100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…72ebbacked Yes | 69c | 2,982$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 34c | 2,785$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 2c | 2,733$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1b…2784backed No | 1c | 2,531$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked No | 1c | 2,508$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…f752backed No | 2c | 2,227$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 3c | 2,065$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5348…e4ffbacked No | 2c | 2,029$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 4c | 2,019$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 2c | 2,016$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 185 | 16.2%30 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ee…068cbacked Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked No | 7c | 1,518$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed No | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +147.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes | 64c | 1,428$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed No | 6c | 1,404$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b0…881dbacked No | 1c | 1,359$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…1076backed Yes | 76c | 1,356$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87dc…2afdbacked No | 2c | 1,299$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…72c7backed No | 1c | 1,288$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…c087backed No | 26c | 1,265$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed Yes | 72c | 1,200$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4d…5f9fbacked No | 1c | 1,172$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 61c | 1,038$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.09 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…cef3backed No | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +176%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 79c | 923$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.35 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe535…96d3backed Yes | 68c | 900$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258d…4fd6backed No | 2c | 877$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0b…69e6backed Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 24c | 799.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 32c | 749.9$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.97 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…c751backed Yes | 77c | 749.08$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c9…96afbacked No | 2c | 711.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb8…7d13backed No | 8c | 638.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 10c | 547.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked No | 7c | 541.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…bccebacked No | 9c | 537.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca7…d86fbacked No | 2c | 525.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed No | 20c | 457.55$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…2b5fbacked Yes | 80c | 449.41$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 17c | 438.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.65 | 183 | 22.4%41 W · 142 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed No | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf815…4f3ebacked Yes | 70c | 388.17$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d47…5a53backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…6dc9backed Yes | 68c | 330.68$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 71c | 326$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.42 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 18c | 324.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…6c9bbacked No | 7c | 323.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…0650backed Yes | 65c | 308.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfb…80debacked No | 5c | 275.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 72c | 272.03$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…1205backed No | 9c | 253.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked No | 7c | 242.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked No | 31c | 238$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…5607backed No | 47c | 228.26$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…57e9backed Yes | 61c | 218.38$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb942…f73ebacked Yes | 76c | 213.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…4953backed No | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed2…3e00backed Yes | 77c | 210.58$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked Yes | 72c | 210.43$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…1db6backed Yes | 62c | 205.17$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x937e…db42backed Yes | 64c | 201.49$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…48fbbacked Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 79c | 196.25$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 14c | 190.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfd…6e4abacked Yes | 74c | 185.78$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 62c | 180.62$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 20c | 177.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -17.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…1726backed Yes | 77c | 177.9$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 20c | 167.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…f5adbacked Yes | 65c | 157.02$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 35c | 145$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…db98backed Yes | 61c | 144$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4634…a79cbacked Yes | 62c | 133$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…452cbacked Yes | 71c | 131.01$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…01cbbacked Yes | 77c | 130.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a2…b015backed Yes | 69c | 127.01$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.