Europa Conference League · resolved market
RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe36ce89e183d2545845bfcf06f5a5d863a3526c6ee40ea41e571a5b466ed6c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RSC Anderlechtof RSC Anderlecht, PAOK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95c1…94d7backed RSC Anderlecht | 74c | 4,174$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed PAOK | 26c | 1,364$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.65 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed PAOK | 26c | 908.81$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.74 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed PAOK | 28c | 783.06$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.37 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked PAOK | 27c | 505$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.95 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed PAOK | 27c | 482.68$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.49 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked PAOK | 32c | 372$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.28 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed RSC Anderlecht | 71c | 352.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed PAOK | 26c | 280$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…d68abacked PAOK | 17c | 235.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8032…db9fbacked RSC Anderlecht | 68c | 199.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked PAOK | 26c | 192$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked RSC Anderlecht | 74c | 169.05$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked PAOK | 26c | 114$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a5…ef08backed PAOK | 32c | 105.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069a…7c82backed PAOK | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc0…e6dbbacked RSC Anderlecht | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…2c46backed PAOK | 31c | 93.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked PAOK | 31c | 81.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed PAOK | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…a49ebacked RSC Anderlecht | 72c | 60.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…aa1abacked PAOK | 32c | 53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PAOK | 25c | 40.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed PAOK | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked RSC Anderlecht | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed PAOK | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3176…fd81backed PAOK | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…509fbacked RSC Anderlecht | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…81b5backed RSC Anderlecht | 70c | 15.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: Team to Advancethis page
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 0.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 3.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 5.5Under won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: PAOK O/U 1.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: PAOK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: PAOK (-1.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: PAOK (-2.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)PAOK won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-2.5)PAOK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.