Europa Conference League · resolved market

RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26d5fa85474e00698b417d9ce614790fce6fae9585398a4672f44792e765e330

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $38,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $43,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,516 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	50c	5,467$2,745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,721.52	978	46.2%452 W · 526 L	-3.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under	50c	5,047$2,526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,526.34	275	39.6%109 W · 166 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	50c	3,875$1,939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,936.33	1,046	50.2%525 W · 521 L	+28.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	50c	3,857$1,929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,928.5	139	47.5%66 W · 73 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under	29c	2,385$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	63	63.5%40 W · 23 L	+6.4wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	97	54.6%53 W · 44 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979.98	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under	49c	1,917$939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.49	65	56.9%37 W · 28 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	19c	1,749$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.04	1,611	38.8%625 W · 986 L	-19.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	36c	1,600$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.02	2,478	33.9%840 W · 1,638 L	-95.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	44c	1,536$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.66	1,037	46.1%478 W · 559 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	51c	1,485$763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$722.54	662	50.6%335 W · 327 L	+22.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	49c	1,367$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$669.68	1,117	35.8%400 W · 717 L	-13.6wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ad…b017backed Over	48c	1,018$489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$529.47	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	50c	906.38$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.71	2,999	42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L	+7.7wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	52c	895$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.6	695	48.9%340 W · 355 L	+19.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over	49c	788$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.88	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	19c	711.69$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.12	571	49.6%283 W · 288 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Over	49c	612.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.24	144	43.8%63 W · 81 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over	50c	604.41$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.21	104	63.5%66 W · 38 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over	49c	600$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over	51c	556$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.44	218	40.4%88 W · 130 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Over	49c	544.21$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.55	147	44.9%66 W · 81 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	50c	485.15$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.58	324	36.4%118 W · 206 L	-20.4wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over	49c	420$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.2	387	44.4%172 W · 215 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over	50c	394.19$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.1	192	40.1%77 W · 115 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over	52c	272.66$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.88	93	40.9%38 W · 55 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over	52c	272.66$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.88	111	41.4%46 W · 65 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb756…92d7backed Under	50c	180$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-4.9wins	-0.31per pick	49cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	50c	160$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	92	50%46 W · 46 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under	27c	160$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.4	73	64.4%47 W · 26 L	+9.3wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xb1d2…c938backed Over	68c	145.6$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.87	20	85%17 W · 3 L	+4.0wins	+0.20per pick	65cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	79c	139.31$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.26	814	40.5%330 W · 484 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over	50c	138$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	187	32.1%60 W · 127 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under	49c	118.51$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.07	39	59%23 W · 16 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	51c	118$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.82	2,344	41.6%976 W · 1,368 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over	49c	111.74$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.99	69	59.4%41 W · 28 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Under	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	123	36.6%45 W · 78 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	51c	95.98$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.03	153	52.9%81 W · 72 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x843c…529ebacked Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	74c	93.77$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.13	377	50.9%192 W · 185 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	51c	87.17$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.69	771	41.8%322 W · 449 L	-8.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff06…c7d5backed Over	80c	75$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over	51c	72.59$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.62	171	53.8%92 W · 79 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1737…2b2fbacked Over	71c	69.99$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.99	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7285…3273backed Under	37c	65$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over	50c	64$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Over	49c	61.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.22	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be6…5ab8backed Under	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-6.7wins	-0.39per pick	51cpaid	-77.4%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Over	80c	55$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	59	71.2%42 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	69cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	443	56.2%249 W · 194 L	+23.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53c8…7f69backed Over	52c	48.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Over	50c	44.96$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.48	126	48.4%61 W · 65 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Over	51c	40.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.61	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d41…6a2ebacked Under	40c	37.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	52c	32.69$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.69	267	47.2%126 W · 141 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x732d…35b3backed Under	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3487…17e7backed Under	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over	51c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	655	49.8%326 W · 329 L	+13.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under	47c	27.38$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.87	123	58.5%72 W · 51 L	+7.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under	49c	26.93$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	390	52.6%205 W · 185 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	91	64.8%59 W · 32 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	70cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Under	49c	24.49$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	36	63.9%23 W · 13 L	+5.8wins	+0.16per pick	48cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	50c	22.02$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.01	256	41%105 W · 151 L	-12.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	482	49.8%240 W · 242 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc326…3bbfbacked Over	52c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.56per pick	44cpaid	+135%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5this page
RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 0.5Over won
RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5Over won
RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 3.5Over won
RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5Over won
RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 5.5Under won
RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: PAOK O/U 1.5Over won
RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: PAOK O/U 2.5Under won
RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: Team to AdvanceRSC Anderlecht won
Spread: PAOK (-1.5)RSC Anderlecht won
Spread: PAOK (-2.5)RSC Anderlecht won
Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)PAOK won
Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-2.5)PAOK won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event