Europa Conference League · resolved market
RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d55d96941ba85fb47097cd003f3654079d06fb27e33d9a77cd761221857277e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf18…3ca8backed Over | 17c | 2,880$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 67c | 2,807$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.07 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 75c | 1,892$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.98 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 13c | 1,294$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 40c | 948.88$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.85 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 879.78$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.41 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 12c | 715.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 58c | 712.6$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.53 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked Over | 28c | 700$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Under | 69c | 596.9$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.56 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 5c | 396.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Over | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 61c | 341.88$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.88 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Over | 9c | 309.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 74c | 309$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 19c | 237.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Over | 7c | 214.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 6c | 212$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 41c | 210.54$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 28c | 208.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 13c | 187.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 29c | 185.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 72c | 181.83$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Over | 15c | 175.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Under | 59c | 164.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Under | 75c | 158.26$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 11c | 144.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 41c | 113$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 24c | 106.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…6533backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Over | 44c | 94.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 66c | 85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7b…a65cbacked Over | 42c | 64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 38c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Over | 42c | 55.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 40c | 53.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…5fe5backed Under | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 70c | 38.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 75c | 37.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 75c | 37.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 36c | 37.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 59c | 34.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Under | 67c | 30.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 72c | 29.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Under | 58c | 23.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4716backed Under | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 72c | 15.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 72c | 14.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 5.5this page
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 0.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 3.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: PAOK O/U 1.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: PAOK O/U 2.5Under won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: Team to AdvanceRSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: PAOK (-1.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: PAOK (-2.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)PAOK won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-2.5)PAOK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.