Europa Conference League · resolved market
RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54759b6ddb7f1d0edafa51dd5727004999eff83bed7191980ddc64ec68eb7cb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No | 29c | 1,604$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.13 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 839.21$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.45 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 43c | 454.65$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 58c | 379.68$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.47 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 57c | 349.05$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.09 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 58c | 197.45$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.18 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…8154backed Yes | 58c | 182.76$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 42c | 138$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 42c | 120.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 37c | 115.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Yes | 70c | 88.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 74.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 71c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 57c | 62.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 42c | 47.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 56c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 33.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 71c | 31.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 71c | 31.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 71c | 25.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 43c | 25.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 42c | 24.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 57c | 20.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 0.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 3.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 5.5Under won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: PAOK O/U 1.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: PAOK O/U 2.5Under won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: Team to AdvanceRSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: PAOK (-1.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: PAOK (-2.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)PAOK won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-2.5)PAOK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.