Europa Conference League · resolved market
RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16542e0fbfd517a28bb8359dcac8f6b983111846caf97a5c2efcdc8ad60ea658
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 1,334$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…5449backed Under | 1c | 1,071$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 901.73$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.07 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 31c | 629.75$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.5 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked Over | 43c | 620$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.4 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 47c | 562.7$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.23 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 54c | 500.01$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.67 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 72c | 276.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 53c | 163.9$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.66 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 162.77$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 68c | 160.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 28c | 138$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 27c | 114.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 71c | 104.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 70.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 23c | 67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked Over | 42c | 45.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 56c | 38.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 29c | 37.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 72c | 36.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 56c | 35.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 71c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 56c | 33.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 71c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 71c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 55c | 26.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 3.5this page
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 0.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 5.5Under won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: PAOK O/U 1.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: PAOK O/U 2.5Under won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: Team to AdvanceRSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: PAOK (-1.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: PAOK (-2.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)PAOK won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-2.5)PAOK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.