Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33f830dde3a6b8bd272253bc9c8b149df50e12d32c912629437b5d45c5cdbdf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 1,928$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.08 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 1,728$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.33 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 78c | 1,651$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.46 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 1,502$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.5 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 1,390$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.66 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 24c | 1,178$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.18 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 27c | 999.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Yes | 22c | 866.8$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 743.8$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 25c | 555.13$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.72 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 68c | 507.09$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.29 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 76c | 465.15$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.62 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 31c | 437.68$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.68 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 396.79$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed No | 76c | 394.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba4…d608backed Yes | 24c | 370.83$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 332.88$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 69c | 249.22$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed No | 77c | 231.4$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 70c | 206.42$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 76c | 199.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 77c | 181.37$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…c372backed Yes | 23c | 136$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…2c46backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 33c | 123.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 76c | 110$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 106$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 106$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…892fbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405e…9c34backed Yes | 15c | 103.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 31c | 96.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7533…285ebacked No | 77c | 88.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 76c | 77.21$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 58.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 28c | 57.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 35c | 53.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 52.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 21c | 52.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 51.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 23c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 45.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked No | 70c | 42.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 72c | 39.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 77c | 26.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 78c | 22.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 76c | 21.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 73c | 14.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 78c | 14.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed No | 74c | 13.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?this page
- Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-20?Yes won
- Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.