Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeb00de9d1f87312e2af46ee739e77d2e8f537ab6ef022a5db6257637da3d367
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fad…b78fbacked Yes | 62c | 8,908$5,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,403.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 54c | 4,664$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516.55 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 49c | 4,380$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Yes | 48c | 4,016$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 4,007$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.47 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 53c | 3,525$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.49 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 59c | 2,827$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.91 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 43c | 2,814$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.31 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 2,419$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.23 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes | 37c | 1,976$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.04 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 48c | 1,443$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.11 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 19c | 1,400$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.29 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 18c | 1,389$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.89 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked No | 44c | 1,288$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.52 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 71c | 1,110$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.57 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 19c | 1,050$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.5 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Yes | 49c | 914.28$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.28 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +305.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 19c | 700$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 18c | 627.78$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.78 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 56c | 619.5$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.97 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 51c | 588.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed No | 47c | 488.58$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 27c | 444.11$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.62 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…30aabacked Yes | 48c | 332.26$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes | 18c | 316.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +259.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Yes | 80c | 312.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…615ebacked Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 59c | 274.59$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.07 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba4…d608backed Yes | 19c | 268.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…44b2backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed No | 54c | 185.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 40c | 169.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 76c | 168.5$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 47c | 143.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked No | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed No | 53c | 127.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 53c | 117.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 58c | 97.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 54c | 96.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 75c | 88.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe429…ef44backed No | 54c | 87.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 48c | 86.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 23c | 74.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 59c | 71.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe61f…2c30backed Yes | 19c | 68.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 64.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9da…3ef5backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ba…046bbacked Yes | 69c | 59.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…4a0abacked No | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 44c | 53.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdc…6eedbacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 51c | 52.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 50c | 51.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Yes | 42c | 47.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 47c | 47.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b9…f9ebbacked Yes | 57c | 44.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 38c | 41.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 51c | 38.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked No | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…6aaabacked No | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 46c | 29.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Yes | 46c | 28.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 51c | 28.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 43c | 27.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 46c | 27.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 42c | 27.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed No | 51c | 23.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 66c | 22.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 80c | 17.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?No won
- Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.