Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: AIK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ea39f204a0eeabf5c8a5078738164cb8768c8980f3e4e1151398de1646f276f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Orgryte ISof AIK, Orgryte IS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed Orgryte IS | 65c | 15,370$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,369.69 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed AIK | 35c | 3,577$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.92 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed AIK | 36c | 2,594$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.97 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed AIK | 35c | 2,500$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.67 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked AIK | 36c | 2,500$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.52 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed AIK | 35c | 1,844$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.26 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked AIK | 39c | 1,709$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.63 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked AIK | 31c | 1,343$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Orgryte IS | 61c | 1,288$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.91 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed AIK | 38c | 514.26$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.94 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…2680backed Orgryte IS | 59c | 508.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed AIK | 43c | 475$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.28 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed AIK | 36c | 415.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.69 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Orgryte IS | 64c | 248.01$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed AIK | 36c | 215.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Orgryte IS | 64c | 203.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +10.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked AIK | 6c | 189.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Orgryte IS | 77c | 179.96$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Orgryte IS | 77c | 128$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed AIK | 37c | 126.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce48…76b8backed AIK | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Orgryte IS | 79c | 114.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed AIK | 37c | 98.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…2c46backed AIK | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Orgryte IS | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Orgryte IS | 76c | 85.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Orgryte IS | 62c | 84.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed AIK | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked AIK | 37c | 76.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed AIK | 35c | 69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed AIK | 37c | 38.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed AIK | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Orgryte IS | 62c | 28.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed AIK | 38c | 26.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…03cebacked Orgryte IS | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AIK (-1.5)this page
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: AIK O/U 0.5Under won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 0.5Over won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 1.5Over won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 2.5Over won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5Under won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 4.5Under won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AIK (-2.5)Orgryte IS won
- Spread: Orgryte IS (-1.5)Orgryte IS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.