Other European Leagues · resolved market
AIK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc9d8356b4836baaddd60715821d72752abb0824515e362f4096a118274a0216
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa043…b419backed Over | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 23c | 4,485$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.41 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 4,466$3,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.99 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 73c | 2,079$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.31 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 59c | 929.15$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 17c | 550.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Over | 14c | 331.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 73c | 304.14$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 59c | 293$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.13 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 68c | 184.02$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Under | 78c | 182.76$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 78c | 180$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 68c | 178.87$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 18c | 155.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 9c | 142.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 72c | 73.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 71c | 71.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 42c | 49.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 77c | 48.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 74c | 40.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Under | 72c | 38.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 65c | 33.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under | 79c | 31.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…1a3bbacked Under | 79c | 29.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 73c | 29.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 77c | 28.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 71c | 18.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 4.5this page
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: AIK O/U 0.5Under won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 0.5Over won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 1.5Over won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 2.5Over won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5Under won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AIK (-1.5)Orgryte IS won
- Spread: AIK (-2.5)Orgryte IS won
- Spread: Orgryte IS (-1.5)Orgryte IS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.