Other European Leagues · resolved market
AIK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x654a85f04c4353ad803d0d3184d7dd0e1a671066f7d52edbd853c758ed2db16e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 5,130$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 46c | 2,928$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.68 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 38c | 2,434$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.2 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 49c | 2,418$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.26 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 54c | 1,999$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.31 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 42c | 1,643$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.58 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Under | 62c | 1,536$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.72 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 38c | 1,376$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.92 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 59c | 1,262$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.9 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 59c | 993.47$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.15 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Over | 57c | 618.26$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.35 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 29c | 505.4$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.83 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.02 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 34c | 383.48$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.38 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 66c | 318.91$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.84 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 70c | 290.06$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.04 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 46c | 258.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.13 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 59c | 251.94$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.29 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 46c | 241.97$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.78 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 60c | 239.94$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.82 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 55c | 227.56$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 66c | 213.91$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 47c | 199.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.66 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 49c | 168.97$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 66c | 160$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…4841backed Over | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 50c | 105.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 66c | 105$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 63c | 101$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked Over | 24c | 98.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 70c | 90.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 35c | 84.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…cac8backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 66c | 80.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…521bbacked Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 48c | 72.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +8.2wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 55c | 71.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 35c | 67.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 51c | 65.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Under | 70c | 65.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…c31dbacked Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 36c | 61.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 30c | 58.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc47…eb82backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4840…be60backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…1a3bbacked Under | 50c | 43.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…9bdcbacked Under | 66c | 42.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +5.2wins | +0.34per pick | 59cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Over | 47c | 41.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 35c | 39.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 54c | 38.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under | 50c | 37.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…ab54backed Over | 31c | 35.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 48c | 35.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 37c | 35.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 49c | 33.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 66c | 30.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…adc1backed Over | 63c | 27.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 43c | 24.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over | 62c | 21.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 48c | 21.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Over | 57c | 18.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 69c | 16.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 62c | 16.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5this page
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: AIK O/U 0.5Under won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 0.5Over won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 1.5Over won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 2.5Over won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 4.5Under won
- AIK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AIK (-1.5)Orgryte IS won
- Spread: AIK (-2.5)Orgryte IS won
- Spread: Orgryte IS (-1.5)Orgryte IS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.