Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15e632c5f5a62248eab150ee29350f73360ca03b738efcf1b5f6ed3e1a034614
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $367,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $429,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $367,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x983e…6748backed Yes | 55c | 48,369$26,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,766.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 56c | 29,716$16,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,158.29 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked No | 44c | 27,300$12,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,011.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 12,579$7,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,546.79 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed No | 67c | 12,049$8,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,102.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 43c | 11,112$4,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,819.8 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked No | 45c | 10,333$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,649.98 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 4c | 9,406$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.67 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…2e18backed No | 45c | 8,665$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 56c | 8,514$4,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583e…a2a6backed No | 45c | 7,525$3,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,398.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 45c | 7,500$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.99 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked No | 45c | 7,400$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…82d6backed No | 45c | 7,400$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…f406backed Yes | 56c | 7,367$4,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 56c | 5,477$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 45c | 5,115$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…21b9backed Yes | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed No | 45c | 4,806$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked No | 45c | 4,618$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 4,616$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.2 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 49c | 4,588$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.02 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 49c | 4,417$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.02 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…bb8abacked No | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked No | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 3,961$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.13 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes | 62c | 3,667$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.18 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Yes | 55c | 3,620$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +4.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7618…24c6backed Yes | 61c | 3,595$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 61c | 3,333$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 52c | 3,289$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.01 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 45c | 3,260$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.87 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked No | 46c | 3,240$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 49c | 2,898$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.49 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 36c | 2,835$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.75 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 45c | 2,794$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.85 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked No | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 55c | 2,396$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.6 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 44c | 2,337$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.57 | 443 | 56.2%249 W · 194 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 32c | 2,313$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.37 | 797 | 32.2%257 W · 540 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked No | 4c | 2,127$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.45 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 56c | 2,111$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.6 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…6674backed Yes | 62c | 2,081$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…d3b9backed No | 44c | 1,947$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239e…cb80backed No | 45c | 1,820$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 54c | 1,756$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.16 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 44c | 1,691$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.68 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 5c | 1,638$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 60c | 1,621$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 57c | 1,579$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.95 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 25c | 1,564$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173 | 376 | 46.5%175 W · 201 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…8284backed No | 46c | 1,498$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6876…8dc9backed Yes | 61c | 1,469$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c51…1fc1backed Yes | 32c | 1,449$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +213.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 45c | 1,438$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.38 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Yes | 56c | 1,416$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.04 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 44c | 1,408$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.12 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked No | 65c | 1,326$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.67 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 44c | 1,300$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.99 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 66c | 1,290$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.27 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 1,238$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.95 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 54c | 1,230$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked No | 46c | 1,144$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 55c | 1,142$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.5 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5da…625abacked Yes | 57c | 1,128$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…55d4backed Yes | 44c | 1,111$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed No | 5c | 1,053$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 45c | 1,027$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.26 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 58c | 999.98$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 59c | 900$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…2e29backed Yes | 56c | 891.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked Yes | 60c | 864.75$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.9 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 54c | 862.72$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed No | 7c | 825$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed No | 42c | 808.8$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 13c | 793.18$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.11 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 22c | 756.97$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.76 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 23c | 729.34$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.45 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 56c | 721.43$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.43 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 44c | 702.56$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.68 | 387 | 44.4%172 W · 215 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 57c | 701.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 56c | 694.93$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.93 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…ef38backed Yes | 57c | 659.65$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 38c | 613.43$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.35 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 45c | 587$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.15 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed No | 53c | 568.26$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.3 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…3c52backed No | 44c | 543.81$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4705…a7dbbacked Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked No | 5c | 514.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked No | 46c | 506.17$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?No won
- Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.