Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bb378e2586bd1c04bcee3ee9dd4c3859d84d038302c4a6379dc38ee4b05eced
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbba2…24febacked No | 79c | 24,172$19,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,059.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed Yes | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 15c | 3,565$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.38 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 21c | 3,270$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.33 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Yes | 23c | 2,703$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 14c | 2,476$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.98 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 79c | 2,218$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.73 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 22c | 2,177$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 2,172$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.6 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,996$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.29 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes | 15c | 1,831$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 79c | 1,722$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.62 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 19c | 1,578$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.12 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 21c | 1,515$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.27 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 16c | 1,374$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.54 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,321$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.95 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 15c | 1,102$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.28 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 74c | 998.3$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.56 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 21c | 802.85$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.6 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Yes | 5c | 732.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 21c | 631$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.51 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 81 | 17.3%14 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482e…2c02backed No | 79c | 496.24$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 21c | 491.24$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.16 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 21c | 433.34$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 21c | 403.35$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 21c | 380.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 21c | 285.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 22c | 276$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 19c | 247.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…47edbacked Yes | 21c | 242$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 80c | 238.29$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e0…b50ebacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…da77backed Yes | 15c | 190.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 21c | 177.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 79c | 126.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 21c | 113.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…f71dbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 77c | 97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb643…0c90backed Yes | 15c | 94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 92.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 22c | 86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…017dbacked No | 80c | 85.57$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf625…b7c7backed No | 79c | 67.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 21c | 61.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked No | 74c | 57.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 55.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9f62backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 80c | 30.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 79c | 25.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 76c | 22.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 18.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 76c | 14.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…189fbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-20?Yes won
- Will Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.