Serie A · resolved market
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e1369eb7ef5302f11a063a4ee85cea0167463dbe7b3697d7069bb950f29fde3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 10c | 6,660$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.95 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 10c | 5,975$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.46 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…97b0backed Yes | 10c | 3,879$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 9c | 3,727$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.88 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 10c | 3,395$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.47 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 9c | 1,555$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.91 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 10c | 574.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 5c | 499.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 10c | 454.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes | 3c | 440.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +165.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Yes | 10c | 243.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 10c | 218.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037f…dd7ebacked Yes | 12c | 210$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 10c | 196$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…2712backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1833…cc31backed Yes | 10c | 145.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 10c | 134$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 9c | 130.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…7d40backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadc2…7374backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7296…69f5backed Yes | 11c | 97.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pisa SC win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?No won
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.