Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cf0ac1d539ca0f738e39ad38ef0077cbef2de7434e586e08c2cdf6f065df0e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Svitolinaof Swiatek, Svitolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Swiatek | 51c | 16,055$8,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,165.03 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Svitolina | 49c | 10,500$5,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,355 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Swiatek | 44c | 7,306$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.97 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f75…af7ebacked Svitolina | 59c | 6,807$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.28 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Swiatek | 41c | 6,545$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.63 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Svitolina | 56c | 3,232$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.02 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Svitolina | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…6679backed Svitolina | 58c | 1,562$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.71 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf47c…719bbacked Swiatek | 54c | 1,233$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Svitolina | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Svitolina | 58c | 834.48$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.48 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…d8acbacked Svitolina | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Svitolina | 49c | 707$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.57 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Svitolina | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Swiatek | 49c | 511.78$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Svitolina | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 132 | 37.9%50 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Svitolina | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Swiatek | 55c | 419.07$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.11 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Swiatek | 55c | 412.22$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.72 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Swiatek | 52c | 403.73$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.94 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Swiatek | 56c | 395.19$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.34 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Svitolina | 51c | 333$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.17 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Swiatek | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Svitolina | 60c | 258.9$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.9 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Svitolina | 55c | 255.24$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Swiatek | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Swiatek | 40c | 245.87$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Svitolina | 43c | 229.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.09 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Swiatek | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed Svitolina | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Swiatek | 63c | 182.5$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d989backed Svitolina | 55c | 180.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Svitolina | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Swiatek | 65c | 102.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Svitolina | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Svitolina | 55c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Swiatek | 45c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 119 | 19.3%23 W · 96 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a8…5de1backed Svitolina | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Swiatek | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +14.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Swiatek | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Svitolina | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b0…d65cbacked Swiatek | 49c | 60.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed Svitolina | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Swiatek | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 208 | 65.9%137 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…7d50backed Svitolina | 59c | 38.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Svitolina | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c9…9aaebacked Svitolina | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…7d40backed Svitolina | 58c | 17.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)this page
- Iga Swiatek vs. Elina Svitolina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina SvitolinaElina Svitolina won
- Set 1 Winner: Swiatek vs SvitolinaSvitolina won
- Swiatek vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Swiatek vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Swiatek vs. Svitolina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.