MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3feb914cc4200779ab2b77db17cae81056bc0326c50ac64519d572502b147799
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $604,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $597,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $604,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Cardinals | 43c | 493,811$211,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281,891.91 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Padres | 57c | 134,111$76,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,443.27 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Padres | 57c | 85,900$48,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,963 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Padres | 57c | 71,186$40,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,593.41 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 57c | 70,505$40,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,240.54 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Padres | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,800 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Padres | 45c | 30,417$13,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,792.1 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cardinals | 79c | 22,553$17,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,812.28 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 57c | 16,286$9,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,283.02 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Padres | 57c | 14,040$8,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,002.8 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 35c | 9,417$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340.49 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres | 58c | 8,044$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,665.52 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Padres | 59c | 5,665$3,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.61 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Cardinals | 43c | 5,033$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.81 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Padres | 61c | 4,468$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.45 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Padres | 14c | 4,317$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.9 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Padres | 28c | 4,269$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.23 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 18c | 4,159$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.6 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Padres | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Padres | 57c | 3,927$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.25 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Padres | 57c | 3,900$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cardinals | 41c | 3,850$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.5 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 17c | 3,393$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.98 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Padres | 68c | 3,124$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.27 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Padres | 57c | 2,220$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.59 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 29c | 2,202$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.36 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Padres | 49c | 2,178$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.92 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cardinals | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.96 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Padres | 58c | 1,638$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Padres | 57c | 1,605$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.77 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 58c | 1,539$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.58 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Cardinals | 13c | 1,462$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.54 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Padres | 58c | 1,436$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.81 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Padres | 58c | 1,400$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cardinals | 43c | 1,302$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.38 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Padres | 58c | 1,263$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.16 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Padres | 58c | 1,250$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Padres | 58c | 1,150$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Padres | 62c | 1,102$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Padres | 60c | 1,082$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.79 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Padres | 57c | 1,055$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.35 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 69c | 1,053$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Cardinals | 42c | 991.97$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.34 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cardinals | 42c | 910.99$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.37 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Cardinals | 30c | 860$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.6 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Cardinals | 40c | 793.15$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.89 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Cardinals | 42c | 727.38$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.88 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cardinals | 41c | 694.97$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.03 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Padres | 2c | 685$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…da40backed Padres | 58c | 650$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…da9fbacked Cardinals | 43c | 573.77$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.05 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Cardinals | 43c | 553.66$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.99 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Padres | 12c | 544.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Padres | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739c…3b48backed Padres | 58c | 507.41$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.3 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Cardinals | 38c | 505.26$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.26 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…3607backed Cardinals | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Cardinals | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 33c | 495.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.36 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6e…eea6backed Cardinals | 42c | 450$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Cardinals | 45c | 445.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.56 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Padres | 56c | 444.97$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.18 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Cardinals | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Cardinals | 52c | 386.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.45 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Padres | 22c | 364.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 42c | 360$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Padres | 3c | 350$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 43c | 350$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cardinals | 42c | 349.97$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.98 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Padres | 60c | 348.66$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.2 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Cardinals | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…6760backed Padres | 58c | 330$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…40b6backed Cardinals | 42c | 320$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cardinals | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 44c | 290$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 58c | 282$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.56 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Padres | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cardinals | 43c | 247.89$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.3 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cardinals | 42c | 238.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.09 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Padres | 68c | 231.25$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.25 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Cardinals | 37c | 230.66$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.84 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Padres | 58c | 227.59$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Padres | 58c | 222$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.12 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Padres | 46c | 212.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Padres | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Cardinals | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…323cbacked Cardinals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Padres | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Cardinals | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Padres | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Padres | 46c | 190$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.1 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5d…7af4backed Cardinals | 43c | 179.18$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…df92backed Padres | 58c | 173.62$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Padres | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.