College Football · resolved market
Troy vs. Clemson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf813b15f3c48636eb16ac2acfddf13c995004b63e9cfae0c105769c8ee56e405
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clemsonof Troy, Clemson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $273,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $266,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Troy | 4c | 40,902$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3d…35d0backed Clemson | 66c | 25,587$16,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,826.39 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Troy | 34c | 22,543$7,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,560.65 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Troy | 0c | 20,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Troy | 5c | 17,398$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Troy | 35c | 12,848$4,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,467.65 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Troy | 35c | 10,024$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.19 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Troy | 36c | 10,000$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,559.96 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Troy | 6c | 8,269$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.72 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Troy | 9c | 7,510$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.1 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Clemson | 68c | 4,790$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.6 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Troy | 22c | 3,496$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.77 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5720…6b19backed Troy | 40c | 2,754$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Troy | 10c | 2,648$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.84 | 74 | 14.9%11 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Troy | 38c | 2,074$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.18 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Clemson | 63c | 1,948$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.32 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Troy | 30c | 1,606$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.55 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Troy | 3c | 1,572$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Clemson | 80c | 1,564$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.96 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4bf1backed Troy | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Clemson | 80c | 1,219$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.56 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Troy | 10c | 1,053$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.34 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Clemson | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b23…133ebacked Troy | 17c | 848.22$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Troy | 27c | 772.97$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Troy | 2c | 568$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Troy | 21c | 533.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Troy | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Troy | 8c | 483.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Clemson | 69c | 399.52$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.33 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -8.5wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Troy | 30c | 389.03$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.32 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Clemson | 65c | 382.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.24 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…79e6backed Troy | 6c | 267.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Clemson | 60c | 252$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…d41ebacked Troy | 39c | 228.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Troy | 37c | 227.48$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Troy | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Clemson | 69c | 187$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Troy | 37c | 184.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Clemson | 80c | 167.68$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Troy | 20c | 140$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Clemson | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…b23bbacked Troy | 10c | 101.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Troy | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…2a64backed Troy | 37c | 58.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Troy | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc971…3d5abacked Troy | 37c | 53.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…551dbacked Troy | 38c | 52.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Troy | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…e2d3backed Clemson | 67c | 29.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Troy | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Troy vs. Clemsonthis page
- Spread: Clemson (-33.5)Troy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.