Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Angers SCO win on 2025-09-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80f895a075aa9b1df92960a1688c1119d4041fa05a5984dfa68c05ecc79ba97e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 70c | 8,019$5,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.55 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 6,483$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.02 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 31c | 2,120$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 1,514$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.38 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 72c | 804.33$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.21 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 78c | 425.86$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 71c | 320.93$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 30c | 313.07$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.73 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 22c | 304.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 71c | 244$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 29c | 186.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 29c | 183$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 73c | 168.92$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…7293backed No | 73c | 156.06$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…bca3backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 31c | 99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 96.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 29c | 86.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 69c | 50.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 72c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…79e6backed Yes | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 36.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 70c | 34.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 71c | 25.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Angers SCO win on 2025-09-14?this page
- Will FC Metz vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Metz win on 2025-09-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.