MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbf270457f7948c171f52fdc76c28429b4d77c04bf0e05a895c42801d4821df3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Pirates, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Pirates | 42c | 18,128$7,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,569.7 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Giants | 58c | 9,246$5,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,392.69 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c2…10cebacked Giants | 55c | 5,958$3,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,287.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 39c | 5,396$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.48 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…2ab3backed Giants | 66c | 5,134$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.77 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Giants | 61c | 4,235$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.57 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 65c | 4,209$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.23 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Pirates | 54c | 4,057$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.02 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 54c | 3,156$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.11 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Giants | 46c | 3,046$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.55 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Pirates | 46c | 2,631$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Pirates | 43c | 2,576$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.37 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Giants | 52c | 2,538$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.13 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Pirates | 39c | 2,327$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.1 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Pirates | 65c | 1,849$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.52 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Pirates | 46c | 1,752$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Pirates | 35c | 1,428$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.92 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Pirates | 35c | 1,403$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.66 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Pirates | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Pirates | 41c | 1,327$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.15 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Pirates | 35c | 1,300$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Giants | 64c | 1,300$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.97 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Pirates | 36c | 1,282$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.96 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Giants | 64c | 1,268$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Pirates | 44c | 1,226$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.18 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…79e6backed Giants | 54c | 1,214$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.52 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Giants | 52c | 1,168$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.28 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Giants | 63c | 1,157$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.68 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Pirates | 48c | 1,139$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.77 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Pirates | 64c | 1,132$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.9 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Pirates | 48c | 1,127$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.14 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Pirates | 37c | 1,100$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Giants | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Giants | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.8 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Giants | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +224.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x527c…5f6cbacked Pirates | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Giants | 66c | 950.2$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.13 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Pirates | 36c | 935.04$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.71 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Giants | 59c | 933.02$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.48 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…a828backed Giants | 68c | 897.9$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.57 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 51c | 853.24$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.05 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 45c | 850.61$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.72 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Pirates | 41c | 847.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.15 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates | 34c | 834.8$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.97 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Giants | 65c | 815.38$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Pirates | 31c | 810$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.9 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Pirates | 33c | 805.55$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.7 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Giants | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Giants | 66c | 737.15$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.52 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Pirates | 34c | 682.97$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.76 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Giants | 57c | 614.56$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.67 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Pirates | 79c | 603.33$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.42 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e79…42e0backed Pirates | 58c | 584.27$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7380…8c1bbacked Pirates | 55c | 544.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 45c | 523.14$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.57 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Pirates | 55c | 520$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.73 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Giants | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pirates | 34c | 499.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.96 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Pirates | 60c | 485.06$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.26 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Giants | 59c | 480$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.92 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Giants | 59c | 479.97$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.85 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ca…1d4bbacked Pirates | 58c | 455.26$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Giants | 65c | 453.88$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.73 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Giants | 65c | 453.88$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.73 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Giants | 65c | 431.7$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.12 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Giants | 60c | 416.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Pirates | 35c | 406.51$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.51 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cb…64e0backed Pirates | 63c | 400.4$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Giants | 57c | 400$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Giants | 59c | 392.39$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.88 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 35c | 371.43$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.43 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Giants | 67c | 369.01$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.95 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Pirates | 48c | 356.1$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.18 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 35c | 349.97$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.48 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Giants | 58c | 342.25$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26b6…3263backed Pirates | 45c | 330.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.11 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Pirates | 28c | 318.09$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.47 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Pirates | 42c | 314.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.69 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Giants | 63c | 308.86$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.97 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Pirates | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Pirates | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Pirates | 36c | 288.57$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.97 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Pirates | 39c | 281.59$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.89 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Giants | 64c | 279.84$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.1 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pirates | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Giants | 65c | 276.92$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Pirates | 36c | 268$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.52 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Giants | 64c | 265$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1,156.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…e582backed Pirates | 58c | 261.57$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Giants | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…624abacked Pirates | 64c | 234.76$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…0caabacked Pirates | 44c | 229.55$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.19 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Giants | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Pirates | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Pirates | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Giants | 60c | 197.58$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.41 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Pirates | 36c | 188.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Giants | 59c | 169.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.