Tennis · resolved market
Swiss Open: Comesana vs. Bublik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4df7c72ee1a831239163f5078b182d1583782a2f5b1653816148759088ea454f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublik of Comesana, Bublik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Comesana | 17c | 13,119$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.36 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Comesana | 27c | 2,970$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bublik | 75c | 2,754$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.09 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Bublik | 64c | 2,198$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.46 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Comesana | 40c | 1,633$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.39 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Bublik | 73c | 1,505$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.29 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Bublik | 61c | 1,310$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.75 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bublik | 61c | 1,200$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.5 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Comesana | 38c | 1,134$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.6 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Bublik | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Comesana | 40c | 777.34$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.53 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bublik | 63c | 680$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.6 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Comesana | 40c | 655.59$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.27 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Bublik | 59c | 454.84$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.83 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Comesana | 41c | 443.05$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.65 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Bublik | 62c | 351.94$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.94 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Comesana | 21c | 303$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Bublik | 57c | 282.65$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.54 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Comesana | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Comesana | 42c | 223.6$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.91 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Bublik | 59c | 222.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.19 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -6.4wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bublik | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Bublik | 61c | 163.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Bublik | 59c | 160$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Bublik | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Comesana | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Comesana | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Comesana | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Bublik | 58c | 95.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Comesana | 42c | 75.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Bublik | 60c | 74.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Comesana | 28c | 71.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Comesana | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Bublik | 65c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…ae7cbacked Bublik | 77c | 38.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…1a90backed Bublik | 57c | 35.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…e06bbacked Bublik | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.