TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Inter Miami beat Palmeiras?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,316
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,975

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,316 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc58d…9373backed No80c34,036$27,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,957.6212536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No62c21,109$12,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,113.9410736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes23c17,986$4,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,110.7738935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Yes18c12,285$2,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,211.071752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No78c12,259$9,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,693.4118758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Yes45c11,190$5,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,089.011656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No48c9,394$4,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,887.8919453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes18c8,500$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53028643.7%125 W · 161 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes19c7,526$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.248638.4%33 W · 53 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No56c5,992$3,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,641.7730754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b97…cfc1backed Yes19c5,263$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001010%1 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick40cpaid-87.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b09…0175backed Yes52c4,775$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+108.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes76c4,658$3,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,551.113852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes18c4,644$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.8540222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe807…8922backed Yes19c2,644$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes53c2,493$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31024963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes45c2,400$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07612848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47fc…b576backed No7c2,230$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,073.632740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yes58c2,170$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2502025%5 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x889c…f498backed Yes19c1,962$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Yes48c1,458$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes9c1,130$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.159442.6%40 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006232.3%20 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes27c1,050$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.54332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+106.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf25…cd94backed Yes18c1,035$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.321118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb59…48a1backed Yes20c1,015$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.62100%0 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yes18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18012330.1%37 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed Yes10c989.58$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.713745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yes19c931.87$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1733735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7740…cbcdbacked Yes53c885$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.864339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8704…4b8dbacked Yes15c796.75$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201520%3 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-65%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98e3…c80fbacked Yes20c752.34$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.17875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes19c540.05$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.111414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed Yes79c530.32$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.843458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked No11c500$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4457136.6%26 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed No38c458.55$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.495343.4%23 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+68.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x736f…d0c5backed Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+24.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4da6…f920backed Yes18c402.28$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.41825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed No78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8813333.1%44 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfcc…797dbacked Yes18c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes43c391.92$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.538720.7%18 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc0…1b66backed Yes18c335$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.31650%8 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes19c300$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6725450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes23c297$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.31120%0 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes17c295$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1522547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe781…5e52backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+123.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes18c272.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.998633.7%29 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes18c252$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9616327%44 W · 119 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae55…41c0backed Yes46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid+21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9d…a540backed No76c217.27$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.954647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8290…7fa3backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10612862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed No80c167.5$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.52157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3282…7716backed Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d7…c74dbacked Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8837…ba4ebacked Yes19c148$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9342…6e58backed Yes19c139.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.562433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-46.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6f9…6d62backed Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-46.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc57…ce1ebacked Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x142c…1098backed Yes18c119.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.441625%4 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x33b3…9f56backed Yes18c119$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.421833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed95…b1e6backed Yes18c118.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.421330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfac…490fbacked Yes79c117.15$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011429.8%34 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…e276backed No51c107.54$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2515…a008backed Yes47c105.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503745.9%17 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8d7…94e9backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb9c…e776backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5313048.5%63 W · 67 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x06c6…4162backed Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10ae…cb95backed Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e6f…0142backed Yes18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c35…3702backed Yes18c82.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522847.8%109 W · 119 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd197…9991backed Yes54c73.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-73.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0c…04cbbacked Yes16c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed No80c66$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.24242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+403.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2219344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7516…c308backed Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.821744.7%97 W · 120 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfde9…5256backed No56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.713100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ebb…73eabacked No58c24.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.141154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc47…c9b7backed Yes64c22.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes51c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.282343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed No56c21.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.522227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce3f…67c9backed No58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41566.7%10 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+56.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xca0b…7ba7backed Yes67c17.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.