Champions League · resolved market
Will Inter Miami vs. Palmeiras end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0e2be853273920befb2c6f33743e79e9502feacf7c2f4d1d049eab25f3e2344
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 41c | 11,273$4,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,669.02 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 72c | 9,548$6,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,893.02 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 64c | 3,083$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.34 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 76c | 2,898$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.55 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Yes | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 68c | 2,272$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.78 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed No | 63c | 1,589$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.98 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 19c | 1,511$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.93 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 35c | 1,500$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.11 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…86f3backed Yes | 13c | 1,096$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…acb0backed Yes | 37c | 1,080$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 36c | 972.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.22 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 22c | 841.74$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.27 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 26c | 804.25$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.82 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 64c | 751.77$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.13 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 29c | 684.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.56 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…cd94backed Yes | 40c | 517.58$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.55 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed No | 62c | 400$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 15c | 397.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.61 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 62c | 282.58$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.79 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Yes | 33c | 227.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.27 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 39c | 200$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…c80fbacked Yes | 37c | 161.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.57 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3977…e660backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked Yes | 22c | 135$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f7…ef96backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 61cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…c74dbacked Yes | 32c | 87.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89e…6a30backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…d8cebacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…7bd9backed Yes | 36c | 63.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8965…fda0backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Yes | 36c | 55.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…a458backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebb…73eabacked Yes | 37c | 51.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…4006backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 63c | 47.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked No | 63c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b2…1b0fbacked Yes | 33c | 39.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 37c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 163 | 27%44 W · 119 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 64c | 15.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Miami vs. Palmeiras end in a draw?this page
- Will Inter Miami beat Palmeiras?No won
- Will Palmeiras beat Inter Miami?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.