Champions League · resolved market
Will FC Porto beat Al Ahly?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa9a769ed8ceb660c25fde68e591657a2bfc664e436b3757a92e7444c34567f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed No | 43c | 7,316$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,175.58 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 66c | 5,878$3,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.65 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 57c | 3,905$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.96 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 34c | 3,464$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.69 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 39c | 3,320$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.2 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 56c | 3,184$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.68 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 31c | 3,125$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.95 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 58c | 3,093$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.13 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 41c | 3,073$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.15 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 63c | 3,061$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.6 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 59c | 2,028$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 55c | 1,920$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.4 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,876$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.13 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…b576backed No | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 58c | 1,100$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 79c | 1,021$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.28 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 45c | 876.72$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.3 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…5981backed Yes | 59c | 762.71$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Yes | 57c | 708.27$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.71 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 43c | 679.97$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.58 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 49c | 675.14$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…8b01backed Yes | 57c | 650$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcac…d069backed Yes | 57c | 650$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 43c | 559.97$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.73 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 26c | 516.31$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.24 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…f47bbacked Yes | 57c | 491.23$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Yes | 62c | 491$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.42 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Yes | 61c | 488.98$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.28 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 73c | 410.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.47 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe560…11f0backed Yes | 58c | 409.09$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 44c | 408.91$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.99 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 48c | 400$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 41c | 399.98$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.99 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 56c | 300$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +363.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Yes | 59c | 258.83$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.71 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Yes | 57c | 241$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.37 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 72c | 203$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.01 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49f…3408backed Yes | 57c | 198.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Yes | 58c | 184.26$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 57c | 178$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e276backed Yes | 37c | 170.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 43c | 169$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.33 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed No | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 56c | 145.21$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…c96dbacked Yes | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…4864backed Yes | 52c | 114.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 57c | 88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacaf…abaabacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…6e58backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 59c | 85.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…42f1backed Yes | 61c | 82.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 43c | 73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0037…500abacked Yes | 58c | 70.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked No | 45c | 70.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 55c | 60.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 58c | 60.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2623…23f1backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed Yes | 59c | 48.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…3487backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked Yes | 58c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…7cb8backed Yes | 55c | 36.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebb…73eabacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…f779backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…136bbacked No | 43c | 34.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +305.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…0d3fbacked Yes | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…c308backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Yes | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…456dbacked Yes | 72c | 22.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…2e4dbacked Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed Yes | 59c | 20.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…2297backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…55d3backed Yes | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Porto beat Al Ahly?this page
- Will Al Ahly beat FC Porto?No won
- Will FC Porto vs. Al Ahly end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.