MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a368392653bddfa0e3a5096a6ea499888282a8903d62cad5688be83d09044b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cubs, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed White Sox | 39c | 65,539$25,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,560.24 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed White Sox | 6c | 21,947$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.82 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cubs | 61c | 20,030$12,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,811.99 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cubs | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Cubs | 61c | 14,770$9,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760.35 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cubs | 61c | 9,059$5,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,553.72 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed White Sox | 14c | 4,168$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.43 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed White Sox | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed White Sox | 38c | 3,275$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.22 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked White Sox | 37c | 3,010$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.69 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed White Sox | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Cubs | 62c | 2,660$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.86 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed White Sox | 5c | 2,472$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.04 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 60c | 2,373$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.03 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Cubs | 75c | 2,040$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.63 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Cubs | 63c | 2,013$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.81 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cubs | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…4bb7backed Cubs | 60c | 1,754$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.7 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked White Sox | 4c | 1,744$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox | 12c | 1,663$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.53 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed White Sox | 40c | 1,521$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.4 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Cubs | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 63c | 1,395$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.08 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cubs | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed White Sox | 7c | 993$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cubs | 61c | 790$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.1 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked White Sox | 15c | 660$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed White Sox | 36c | 608.73$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.14 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cubs | 67c | 541.26$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.09 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Cubs | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Cubs | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Cubs | 62c | 499.96$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Cubs | 59c | 485.96$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 77c | 385.42$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.06 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cubs | 59c | 368.85$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.57 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…b98ebacked White Sox | 13c | 356.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Cubs | 62c | 354.83$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox | 23c | 305.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Cubs | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.78 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed White Sox | 39c | 299.71$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.09 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked White Sox | 37c | 280$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked White Sox | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 64c | 262.5$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Cubs | 79c | 252.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed White Sox | 38c | 245.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.93 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked White Sox | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed White Sox | 17c | 222$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Cubs | 63c | 211.04$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Cubs | 80c | 205$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked White Sox | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…0a9abacked Cubs | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…c8cfbacked Cubs | 63c | 199.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cubs | 61c | 195.67$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.09 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Cubs | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked White Sox | 28c | 165.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed White Sox | 40c | 154$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked White Sox | 40c | 120.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed White Sox | 33c | 115.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…0f19backed White Sox | 40c | 115$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked White Sox | 38c | 113.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed White Sox | 39c | 108$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Cubs | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed White Sox | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7093…f927backed Cubs | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…7affbacked White Sox | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…83c2backed White Sox | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0381…4529backed Cubs | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Cubs | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bc…3835backed White Sox | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…5c3fbacked Cubs | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…088fbacked Cubs | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…c70cbacked Cubs | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb745…5f8bbacked White Sox | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…aa22backed White Sox | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f8…d04abacked Cubs | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed White Sox | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…25e7backed White Sox | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cubs | 73c | 92.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed White Sox | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,302 | 56.7%738 W · 564 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…c9c1backed White Sox | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Cubs | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked White Sox | 41c | 73.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Cubs | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked White Sox | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Cubs | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Cubs | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Cubs | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Cubs | 65c | 63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked White Sox | 36c | 59.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaeb…1506backed White Sox | 41c | 56.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…793dbacked White Sox | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…227dbacked White Sox | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…c096backed White Sox | 37c | 53.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed White Sox | 38c | 52.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe280…ed39backed White Sox | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.