Tennis · resolved market
Swiss Open: Cerundolo vs. Goffin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21416547dee9ea6d1d944870081ca62052b3e9783aa86799c4cba0ee4e5f6045
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cerundoloof Cerundolo, Goffin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Cerundolo | 51c | 4,058$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.14 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Goffin | 68c | 4,016$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.35 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cerundolo | 42c | 2,760$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.27 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9c…0fe6backed Goffin | 42c | 1,693$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.81 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Goffin | 55c | 1,373$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.87 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cerundolo | 58c | 1,185$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.92 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Cerundolo | 34c | 1,108$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.2 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e70…0796backed Cerundolo | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…57c1backed Goffin | 41c | 975$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Goffin | 70c | 790$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.5 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Goffin | 53c | 758.49$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Goffin | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Cerundolo | 55c | 693.1$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.17 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Goffin | 32c | 533.75$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.49 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cerundolo | 69c | 401.38$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.05 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cerundolo | 58c | 332.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Goffin | 35c | 285.6$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Cerundolo | 59c | 252.33$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Goffin | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Goffin | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Goffin | 43c | 232.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Goffin | 29c | 220$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cerundolo | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Goffin | 41c | 149.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Goffin | 75c | 140$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Goffin | 49c | 138.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Goffin | 43c | 125.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed Cerundolo | 30c | 105.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1f…62f3backed Cerundolo | 48c | 102.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Goffin | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Goffin | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Goffin | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Goffin | 64c | 95.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Cerundolo | 56c | 78.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Goffin | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Goffin | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Cerundolo | 61c | 61.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Goffin | 39c | 56.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Cerundolo | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Cerundolo | 60c | 42.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Goffin | 39c | 30.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…b570backed Goffin | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Goffin | 61c | 22.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cerundolo | 59c | 22.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cerundolo | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Goffin | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…637bbacked Goffin | 69c | 16.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.