TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Hawks, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,018
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,756

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,018 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x61bf…647ebacked Hawks54c14,663$7,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,913.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Celtics46c10,601$4,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,731.5118146.4%84 W · 97 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Hawks29c8,644$2,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.2225536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics71c7,103$5,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.23,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Hawks56c5,903$3,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,310.981233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Celtics63c5,635$3,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.6533746.3%156 W · 181 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Celtics44c4,067$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.5617658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Hawks35c4,020$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.449437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics66c3,855$2,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.021,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Hawks1c2,950$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78c4…a801backed Hawks0c2,650$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Celtics46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8103458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hawks41c1,226$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Celtics69c1,152$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.9620756%116 W · 91 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Hawks34c1,114$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.7266744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Celtics44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5606550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Celtics44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56063555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Hawks40c841.6$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.6638143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Hawks53c671.72$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Celtics63c584.51$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.815054%27 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked Hawks27c465.53$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3512254.9%67 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Hawks51c399.57$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.781258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcdc…15cabacked Celtics43c380.99$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.171258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Celtics43c341.04$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3146342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Hawks3c330$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.266732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Hawks40c266.05$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.428856.8%50 W · 38 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Hawks53c264.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ac…00a0backed Celtics44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb963…cefebacked Hawks55c225$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.751435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Hawks54c221.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.883158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe87…8b1dbacked Celtics45c220$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.241450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Celtics48c208.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.851,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Celtics49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0889353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Celtics49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0814924.8%37 W · 112 L-0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Celtics42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1163545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x166a…5ba5backed Celtics44c197.73$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.732941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Hawks11c189.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.88783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Hawks56c189.29$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Hawks57c176.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Celtics50c171.55$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5648938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Celtics44c163.65$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.649344.1%41 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Celtics47c156.55$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9711755.6%65 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Celtics45c151.2$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4942740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Hawks25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa98a…8f31backed Celtics44c136.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Celtics43c133.25$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5231631.6%100 W · 216 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Celtics66c120$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.825836.8%95 W · 163 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca8…3e59backed Celtics42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.051947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40f4…6dc0backed Celtics48c110.42$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Celtics43c104.11$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.346750.7%34 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc97a…bb96backed Hawks55c103.64$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Celtics41c101.83$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.085127.5%14 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed Celtics65c101.08$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.382650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Celtics43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5772647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Hawks54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5433650.6%170 W · 166 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b83…e63dbacked Hawks56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+38.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3820…d669backed Hawks40c99.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198b…9973backed Celtics72c95.62$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.773461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cdc…ae37backed Celtics42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.246025%15 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Hawks20c89.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8628548.4%138 W · 147 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Celtics44c79.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.81,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Hawks54c67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1821062.9%132 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06c6…4162backed Hawks46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.81442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Hawks54c56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2482440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba8…697ebacked Celtics46c52.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.291747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Hawks22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1136747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Celtics47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.53231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3839…e2eebacked Celtics44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.455455.6%30 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Celtics45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4415252%79 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae90…c05fbacked Celtics63c37.03$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.651656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Hawks58c36.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.795856.9%33 W · 25 L+8.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+39.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Celtics44c32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.082,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc043…8121backed Celtics71c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Hawks38c27.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.326439.4%104 W · 160 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Celtics40c27.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.221,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4052…89d6backed Celtics42c25.02$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x685d…0ab9backed Hawks55c23.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1c…abe8backed Hawks59c23.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc69f…ceb0backed Hawks66c22.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151741.2%7 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2af6…34b5backed Hawks55c20.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.423333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x847e…235cbacked Celtics70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb87…7fd3backed Hawks55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe280…ed39backed Hawks56c19.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Celtics70c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3359743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.