Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2eed795c711615c1a36a844ae7d8b3eab76ff826ed67db9bac5968c196f7f23d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Vitalityof Team Vitality, Team Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f24…68c2backed Team Vitality | 40c | 6,693$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,015.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea42…86d3backed Team Heretics | 60c | 3,941$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ed…6374backed Team Heretics | 60c | 3,312$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47c…0bd0backed Team Vitality | 40c | 2,680$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…9bcbbacked Team Heretics | 60c | 2,120$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Heretics | 58c | 2,040$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.32 | 963 | 50.2%483 W · 480 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Team Vitality | 43c | 993.28$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.9 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Team Heretics | 61c | 939.36$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.41 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked Team Vitality | 40c | 624.31$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.58 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Heretics | 58c | 551.32$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.77 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Team Vitality | 40c | 546.19$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.99 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Team Heretics | 61c | 511.68$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.17 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Vitality | 41c | 501.15$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.18 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Vitality | 42c | 435.55$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.62 | 785 | 49.9%392 W · 393 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Team Vitality | 42c | 397$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.26 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Team Vitality | 39c | 389.85$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.81 | 813 | 33%268 W · 545 L | -43.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Vitality | 41c | 300$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 1,802 | 51.2%923 W · 879 L | +53.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Team Vitality | 42c | 278$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.24 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Heretics | 59c | 269.08$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.72 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7f…6e16backed Team Vitality | 39c | 264.1$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Team Heretics | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Team Vitality | 42c | 232.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.88 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Team Heretics | 58c | 210.95$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Heretics | 58c | 208.38$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…763dbacked Team Vitality | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Team Heretics | 37c | 180.29$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Team Heretics | 60c | 160.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…a19fbacked Team Vitality | 40c | 141$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3c…5727backed Team Vitality | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d5…7c98backed Team Vitality | 25c | 111.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Vitality | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Team Heretics | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Vitality | 40c | 94.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Team Vitality | 43c | 93.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 321 | 42.1%135 W · 186 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Team Heretics | 61c | 92.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Team Vitality | 48c | 62.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…e8afbacked Team Heretics | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Vitality | 39c | 61.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team Heretics | 59c | 52.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Team Vitality | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 749 | 49.7%372 W · 377 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49f…accabacked Team Heretics | 60c | 51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…afbcbacked Team Vitality | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Team Heretics | 69c | 49.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 257 | 64.2%165 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Team Heretics | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…6c60backed Team Vitality | 40c | 48.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed Team Vitality | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Team Vitality | 39c | 41.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 655 | 63.2%414 W · 241 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Team Vitality | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…756dbacked Team Vitality | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Team Vitality | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…9ab8backed Team Vitality | 38c | 39.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd06…d1f3backed Team Vitality | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Team Heretics | 54c | 31.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1,232 | 49.4%609 W · 623 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Team Vitality | 46c | 31.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b6…1b3cbacked Team Heretics | 60c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c6…db98backed Team Heretics | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Team Heretics | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…bf86backed Team Heretics | 60c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Team Vitality | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 466 | 41.4%193 W · 273 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Team Heretics | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Team Heretics | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4091…3d09backed Team Heretics | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked Team Heretics | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 230 | 23%53 W · 177 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Team Heretics | 53c | 19.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Team Heretics | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group StageTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 2 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.