Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf116ace245987e83e2259bded9be7b19791e3a8b048211672cac3d6850a2e908
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked Under | 56c | 22,491$12,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,896.15 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 44c | 10,696$4,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,706.24 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 56c | 9,711$5,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,272.96 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Over | 44c | 6,603$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905.32 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.33per pick | 52cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 44c | 4,450$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Over | 44c | 3,474$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.56 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 44c | 2,489$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 44c | 1,591$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 43c | 1,270$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.84 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 55c | 1,169$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.22 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Over | 44c | 529.55$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 160 | 34.4%55 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 44c | 513.64$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Under | 57c | 456.1$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.12 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 44c | 455$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked Over | 43c | 411.03$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 44c | 290$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Over | 46c | 287.39$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 57c | 278.71$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.85 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 55c | 268$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 43c | 255$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -12.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 48c | 246.2$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Over | 44c | 232.89$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…7e1cbacked Under | 57c | 209.92$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…763dbacked Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 42c | 186.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Under | 57c | 178.75$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.88 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c156backed Over | 44c | 164$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Over | 43c | 157$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 45c | 156.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Under | 60c | 140.9$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 57c | 135.9$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 44c | 132$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 43c | 124.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Under | 53c | 122.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…c2f5backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Over | 43c | 108.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 100.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 211 | 40.8%86 W · 125 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 55c | 93.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed Under | 58c | 86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Under | 57c | 68.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 211 | 41.2%87 W · 124 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3021…5a50backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Over | 45c | 63.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f29…fd8bbacked Under | 57c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…464fbacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 68cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…1145backed Under | 57c | 55.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…7ac1backed Over | 44c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…ee87backed Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Over | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Over | 44c | 45.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 352 | 23.9%84 W · 268 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 49c | 36.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…02ccbacked Under | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 183 | 59.6%109 W · 74 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9341backed Over | 44c | 30.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 41c | 30.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…0f15backed Over | 50c | 30.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5389…1e77backed Over | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 57c | 29.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 153 | 56.9%87 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…19aabacked Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5349…a09dbacked Under | 57c | 24.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 131 | 61.1%80 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Over | 48c | 20.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)Team Vitality won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group StageTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 2 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.