Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf1e5d7b37fcf18e509c302f27e3cb42ea51d1e777e409f44eb4a40d1c936685
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked Over | 55c | 2,886$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.11 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 55c | 2,449$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.9 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Under | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Under | 45c | 1,049$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.05 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 47c | 799.82$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.96 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 52c | 586.74$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.21 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Under | 45c | 519.28$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.61 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Under | 47c | 314.38$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.62 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 45c | 278.03$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.92 | 219 | 43.8%96 W · 123 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8a…76a2backed Under | 50c | 240.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.14 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef4…cf3abacked Under | 45c | 211.81$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.58 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 45c | 147.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…c071backed Under | 45c | 140.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…7e1cbacked Over | 52c | 134.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 49c | 130.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Under | 47c | 124.93$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd831…30c1backed Under | 45c | 87.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 54c | 47.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…39eabacked Under | 48c | 40.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 46c | 38.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Under | 45c | 37.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 36.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Under | 45c | 29.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…7eadbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…e905backed Under | 45c | 25.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?this page
- Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)Team Vitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group StageTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 2 WinnerTeam Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.