F1 · resolved market
Albon vs. Sainz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc37ddc3512a0e0a05d9e956ee950acfd30563dc84735977706a84f15bc8deb41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sainzof Albon, Sainz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Albon | 2c | 1,124$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Albon | 60c | 733.81$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.34 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Sainz | 44c | 340$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…8284backed Sainz | 41c | 335.32$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +66%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Albon | 3c | 312.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked Albon | 73c | 300.39$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Sainz | 50c | 204.3$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Sainz | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Albon | 60c | 163.2$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Sainz | 80c | 141.65$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.33per pick | 44cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb3…05e5backed Sainz | 25c | 140$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…df81backed Albon | 78c | 127.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…f56cbacked Albon | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Sainz | 22c | 90$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Albon | 75c | 79.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Albon | 31c | 72.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…85cabacked Sainz | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f50…45aabacked Sainz | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf781…e657backed Sainz | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…3b2fbacked Albon | 51c | 39.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…80efbacked Albon | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Sainz | 48c | 29.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…819dbacked Sainz | 75c | 26.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Sainz | 63c | 25.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…d5aabacked Albon | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…8de3backed Albon | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedfb…ebafbacked Albon | 63c | 23.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Albon vs. Sainzthis page
- Alonso vs. StrollAlonso won
- Hamilton vs. LeclercLeclerc won
- Hamilton vs. RussellRussell won
- Leclerc vs. RussellLeclerc won
- Leclerc vs. VerstappenLeclerc won
- Piastri vs. Norris Piastri won
- Verstappen vs. Norris Norris won
- Verstappen vs. PiastriPiastri won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.